Match Info

Extraliga - Round 19

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ostravar Arena (Ostrava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Slovakia	Voyo
World	European Icehockey Tipsport Extraliga TV


	Vítkovice Steel		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	3	4.3	2	Watch
	2.9	4.1	2.09	Watch
	2.84	4.1	2.14	Watch
	2.9	4.1	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.45)	4.15 ↓ (4.2)	2.06 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vítkovice Steel
32.1%

Draw
22.5%

Sparta Prague
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

22.2%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

22.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vítkovice Steel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vítkovice Steel's form might have worsened.

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Prague's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vítkovice Steel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Prague, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Vítkovice Steel - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vítkovice will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vítkovice (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
49. Hrachovina D. (G)	43. Kovar J. (G)
29. Freibergs R.	10. Pysyk M.
81. Auvitu Y.	4. Sirota J.
16. Rehak F.	38. Hyka T.
27. Hrivik M. (C)	94. Shore D.
24. Abdul J.	23. Kousal P.
Line 2
12. Knazko S.	24. Irving A.
4. Leahy J.	97. Masin D.
25. Zdrahal P.	51. Horak R. (A)
19. Nellis A.	34. Spacek M.
11. Kalus M. (A)	14. Chlapik F. (C)
Line 3
38. Zboril J.	77. Nemecek D.
8. Demel P. (A)	28. Tomov N.
67. Hladonik J.	26. Repik M.
79. Hanzl M.	25. Lajunen J. (A)
72. Bambula J.	16. Dzierkals M.
Line 4
5. Bruna P.	80. Seppala N.
93. Hauser P.	37. Vitouch M.
86. Pribyl M.	20. Eberle J.
34. Macias K.	74. Raska A.
Substitutes
33. Klimes L. (G)	89. Blaha O.
23. Lednicky V.	32. Korenar J. (G)
Coaches
. Varada V.	. Nedved J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:21, Kousal P. (2 min),
02:46, 0 - 1, Shore D. (G), Irving A. (A), Kousal P. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:30, Nellis A. (2 min),
11:58, 0 - 2, Shore D. (G), Spacek M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:47, Shore D. (2 min),
04:46, 0 - 3, Repik M. (G), Lajunen J. (A),
06:21, Zboril J. (2 min),
09:56, 1 - 3, Lednicky V. (G), Hauser P. (A),
11:19, Dzierkals M. (2 min),
17:25, 1 - 4, Chlapik F. (G), Spacek M. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vítkovice won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Vítkovice has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of home games.

Sparta Prague will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vítkovice: Yetman C. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Krejcik J. (Health problems) Shore D. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Vítkovice: Budik V. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Seppala M. (Health problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vítkovice won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:64. (average 2.3:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vítkovice won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 2.6:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vítkovice Steel
Czech Extraliga
26.10.25	Mladá Boleslav - Vítkovice Steel	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Kometa Brno - Vítkovice Steel	4:1 ✺
22.10.25	Sparta Prague - Vítkovice Steel	5:4 OT ✺
17.10.25	Rytíři Kladno - Vítkovice Steel	3:1 ✺
15.10.25	Vítkovice Steel - Verva Litvínov	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW
- HC Sparta Prague
Czech Extraliga
26.10.25	Sparta Prague - Verva Litvínov	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Sparta Prague	4:3 penalties ✺
22.10.25	Sparta Prague - Vítkovice Steel	5:4 OT ✺
21.10.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	1:4 ✺
19.10.25	Sparta Prague - Kometa Brno	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
22.10.25	Sparta Prague - Vítkovice Steel	5:4 OT
21.09.25	Vítkovice Steel - Sparta Prague	2:3 penalties
23.02.25	Vítkovice Steel - Sparta Prague	6:2
10.01.25	Sparta Prague - Vítkovice Steel	5:1
24.11.24	Vítkovice Steel - Sparta Prague	4:1
22.10.24	Sparta Prague - Vítkovice Steel	5:1
07.01.24	Vítkovice Steel - Sparta Prague	2:4

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