Match Info

ELJ - Losers stage - Round 19

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Czechicehockey.tv


	Vítkovice Steel U20		Mountfield HK U20

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.2	3.75
	1.65	4.58	3.54
	1.64	4.83	3.69	Watch
	1.6	4.4	3.7
	1.66	4.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	4.46 ↓ (4.73)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vítkovice Steel U20
55.1%

Draw
20.3%

Mountfield HK U20
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

19.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

19.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vítkovice Steel U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Mountfield HK U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vítkovice Steel U20 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Mountfield HK U20 aligns with the current prediction.

Vítkovice Steel U20 - Mountfield HK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Turon D. (G)	1. Huzl D. (G)
6. Drabek A. (A)	22. Brzak F.
86. Fojtik V.	8. Forejtek O.
17. Herman T.	19. Gaso A. (A)
11. Hofman M.	15. Hendrych P.
4. Majkowski M.	12. Janecek J.
15. Man M.	13. Jon J.
8. Michalik R.	5. Klima F.
13. Muron J.	24. Krogler M.
55. Pavelec P. (A)	21. Panek J.
72. Sebesta M.	18. Paulus F.
91. Svozil L.	3. Pavlik D.
25. Szarowski O.	11. Samek F. (C)
23. Vitek M.	9. Sichan D.
79. Zachariasz O.	6. Vondruska J.
19. Zidek M. (C)	23. Vystavkin A.
10. Zvejska J.	25. Vyvial J. (A)
Substitutes
33. Vavra S. (G)	2. Petrik V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:38, 1 - 0, Michalik R. (G), Fojtik V. (A), Muron J. (A2)
08:28, 2 - 0, Zachariasz O. (G), Majkowski M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:14, 3 - 0, Sebesta M. (G),
05:04, 3 - 1, Jon J. (G), Forejtek O. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:18, 4 - 1, Zidek M. (G), Fojtik V. (A),
14:49, 4 - 2, Vondruska J. (G), Gaso A. (A),

Preview

Vitkovice U20 is Qualified for ELJ (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Mountfield U20 is ELJ (Relegation)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitkovice U20 won 3.

Vitkovice U20 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mountfield U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vitkovice U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mountfield U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Vitkovice U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitkovice U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 54:63. (average 2.7:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitkovice U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 2.9:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Vitkovice U20	13	7	1	0	5	29:32	23
13	Mountfield HK U20	13	3	1	2	7	39:48	13

Last Results with these Odds

Mountfield HK U20 - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 24.51%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vítkovice Steel U20
Czech ELJ
26.02.26	Zlin U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	1:7 ✺
24.02.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Poruba U20	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	6:2 ✺
19.02.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Vítkovice Steel U20	2:3 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWW
- Mountfield HK U20
Czech ELJ
26.02.26	Verva Litvínov U20 - Mountfield HK U20	12:1 ✺
24.02.26	Slavia Prague U20 - Mountfield HK U20	0:5 ✺
19.02.26	Poruba U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:6 ✺
17.02.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Plzen U20 - Mountfield HK U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
23.01.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	0:5
19.12.25	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Mountfield HK U20	1:2
04.12.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	3:4 penalties
11.10.25	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Mountfield HK U20	6:4
20.02.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	4:2
18.02.25	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Mountfield HK U20	1:2 penalties
03.01.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	3:1

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