Match Info

DEL2 - Play Out - Final

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Netzsch-Arena (Selb)


	VER Selb		Regensburg

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.2	2.2
	2.45	4.25	2.3
	2.4	4.05	2.27	Watch
	2.43	4.21	2.38	Watch
	2.3	4	2.38
	2.43	3.9	2.32
	2.4	4.05	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.41)	4.09 ↑ (3.94)	2.3 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VER Selb
37.9%

Draw
22.4%

Regensburg
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

23.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

22.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VER Selb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VER Selb than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Regensburg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

VER Selb - Regensburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Carr K. (G)	75. Neffin J. (G)
38. Stowasser S.	28. Giles S.
7. Hordler F.	78. Schutz K.
22. Campbell C.	93. Morley D.
45. McMillan C.	86. Trivino C.
63. Bassen C.	36. Preto P.
Line 2
52. Sproul R.	92. Demetz P.
42. Heyter T.	18. Mayr S.
10. Smith R.	19. Ontl C.
9. Raedeke B.	13. Schmid M.
47. Miglio N.	44. Liss O.
Line 3
55. Plauschin J.	69. Gajovsky N.
59. Glassl M.	43. Tippmann X.
14. Pfleger M.	88. Wong T.
77. Peter D.	91. Moser R.
28. George J.	74. Schembri A.
Line 4
11. Marusch L.	26. Kottstorfer M.
23. Hofmann J.	21. Angaran A.
17. Park S.	22. Grimm Y.
79. Krymskiy N.	81. Slezak K.
Substitutes
27. Weidekamp M. (G)	37. Kubik D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:04, 0 - 1, Morley D. (G), Trivino C. (A),
12:28, 1 - 1, Miglio N. (G), Sproul R. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
00:39, 1 - 2, Liss O. (G), Morley D. (A),
00:54, 1 - 3, Demetz P. (G),
02:08, 2 - 3, Miglio N. (G), Smith R. (A), Hordler F. (A2)
10:22, 3 - 3, Miglio N. (G),
12:42, 3 - 4, Morley D. (G), Trivino C. (A),

Preview

4th leg. Regensburg leads series 3-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Selb won 1.

Selb has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Regensburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Selb could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Regensburg to win the game is with odds 2.34.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Selb won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 55:69 (average 2.8:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Selb won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30:29 (average 3.3:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Regensburg - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VER Selb
German DEL2
04.04.25	Regensburg - VER Selb	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	VER Selb - Regensburg	3:4 OT ✺
28.03.25	Regensburg - VER Selb	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	2:4 ✺
18.03.25	Kaufbeuren - VER Selb	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- EV Regensburg
German DEL2
04.04.25	Regensburg - VER Selb	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	VER Selb - Regensburg	3:4 OT ✺
28.03.25	Regensburg - VER Selb	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Crimmitschau - Regensburg	4:0 ✺
21.03.25	Regensburg - Crimmitschau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
04.04.25	Regensburg - VER Selb	2:1
30.03.25	VER Selb - Regensburg	3:4 OT
28.03.25	Regensburg - VER Selb	2:1
26.01.25	VER Selb - Regensburg	8:3
22.12.24	Regensburg - VER Selb	7:2
25.10.24	VER Selb - Regensburg	1:5
20.09.24	Regensburg - VER Selb	3:4

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