Match Info

GERMANY: DEL2 - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Energie Schwaben Arena (Kaufbeuren)


	Kaufbeuren		VER Selb

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.3	2.9
	1.91	4.2	3.1
	1.95	4.05	2.9	Watch
	2.06	4.01	2.76
	2.01	4.34	2.87	Watch
	1.95	3.9	2.8
	2.05	4	2.83
	1.95	4.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)	4.11 ↓ (4.15)	2.88 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaufbeuren
46.1%

Draw
22.2%

VER Selb
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

22.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

23.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaufbeuren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

VER Selb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaufbeuren than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaufbeuren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VER Selb than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VER Selb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kaufbeuren - VER Selb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Fiessinger D. (G)	37. Carr K. (G)
27. Peukert J.	7. Hordler F.
97. Schutz S.	59. Glassl M.
42. Watson J.	22. Campbell C.
92. Yaremko N.	45. McMillan C.
29. McAuley C.	88. Schwamberger D.
Line 2
4. Fischer S.	52. Sproul R.
13. Koziol F.	42. Heyter T.
11. Lewis J.	14. Pfleger M.
83. Lagace J.	10. Smith R.
18. Kharboutli S.	77. Peter D.
Line 3
47. Thiel A.	55. Plauschin J.
3. Schmidt T.	74. Raab M.
14. Maul N.	47. Miglio N.
39. Laaksonen J.	9. Raedeke B.
41. Bindels D.	63. Bassen C.
Line 4
78. Nifosi F.	38. Stowasser S.
7. Fischer J.	11. Marusch L.
8. Thal G.	17. Park S.
5. Feigl M.	79. Krymskiy N.
Substitutes
48. Karg M. (G)	27. Weidekamp M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:18, 1 - 0, Lewis J. (G), Lagace J. (A), Watson J. (A2)
11:17, 2 - 0, Laaksonen J. (G), Kharboutli S. (A), Bindels D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:09, 3 - 0, McAuley C. (G), Watson J. (A), Koziol F. (A2)
10:20, 3 - 1, Raedeke B. (G), Plauschin J. (A),
16:48, 4 - 1, Lagace J. (G), McAuley C. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:07, 5 - 1, Lewis J. (G), Lagace J. (A), Kharboutli S. (A2)
09:38, 5 - 2, Schwamberger D. (G), Glassl M. (A), Bassen C. (A2)
18:59, 6 - 2, Kharboutli S. (G),

Preview

5th leg. Selber Wolfe leads series 3-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kaufbeuren won 1.

Kaufbeuren is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Selb is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kaufbeuren will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Selb to win the game is with odds 2.86.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kaufbeuren won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 77:45 (average 3.9:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Kaufbeuren won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 52:20 (average 5.2:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Kaufbeuren - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.28%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

VER Selb - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 27.55%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ESV Kaufbeuren
German DEL2
16.03.25	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Kaufbeuren - VER Selb	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	4:3 ✺
07.03.25	Kaufbeuren - VER Selb	7:2 ✺
02.03.25	Kaufbeuren - EHC Freiburg	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- VER Selb
German DEL2
16.03.25	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Kaufbeuren - VER Selb	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	4:3 ✺
07.03.25	Kaufbeuren - VER Selb	7:2 ✺
02.03.25	VER Selb - Crimmitschau	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
16.03.25	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	1:0
14.03.25	Kaufbeuren - VER Selb	1:2
09.03.25	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	4:3
07.03.25	Kaufbeuren - VER Selb	7:2
31.01.25	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	3:2
26.12.24	Kaufbeuren - VER Selb	4:2
03.11.24	VER Selb - Kaufbeuren	0:3

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