The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vaasan Sport U20 32.6%
Draw 21.3%
Kärpät U20 46.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.9%
22%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
23.1%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kärpät U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vaasan Sport U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
04:52, 1 - 0, Koivunen W. (G), Sjoman J. (A),
05:49, 1 - 1, Erholtz A. (G), Kylmala O. (A), Kokkonen L. (A2)
09:21, 1 - 2, Jurvelin L. (G), Erholtz A. (A), Kylmala O. (A2)
12:33, 2 - 2, Andrey T. (G), Laatikainen M. (A), Harju A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:48, 3 - 2, Flugins K. (G), Kohvakka O. (A), Andrey T. (A2)
19:03, 3 - 3, Jurvelin L. (G), Erholtz A. (A), Kylmala O. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
17:20, 4 - 3, Laatikainen M. (G), Andrey T. (A), Harju A. (A2)
19:41, 5 - 3, Hannula A. (G), Lassander J. (A), Matikainen J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 2.
In recent outings, Vaasan Sport U20 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kärpät U20 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Vaasan Sport U20 has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vaasan Sport U20 has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:82 (averaging 2.4:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vaasan Sport U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 20:25 goals (averaging 2.5:3.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Karpat U20
18
9
3
0
6
66:54
33
12
Vaasan Sport U20
16
6
1
1
8
62:59
21
Last Results with these Odds
Vaasan Sport U20 - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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