Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Vaasan Sport U20		Ässät U20

	1	X	2
	2.40	4.40	1.95
	2.01	4.05	2.76
	1.79	4.52	3.27	Watch
	1.99	4.00	2.70
	1.94	4.10	2.96
	2.02	4.10	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.66)	4.2 ↓ (4.32)	2.72 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaasan Sport U20
44.9%

Draw
21.7%

Ässät U20
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

21.3%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

22.9%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaasan Sport U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vaasan Sport U20's performance.

Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ässät U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vaasan Sport U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ässät U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vaasan Sport U20 - Ässät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Vaasan Sport U20 has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:61 (averaging 3.1:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vaasan Sport U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 29:34 goals (averaging 2.9:3.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12
16	Vaasan Sport U20	9	1	1	1	6	29:37	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.10.26	Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:2 OT ✺
02.10.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - HIFK U20	2:4 ✺
27.09.26	Jokerit U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:4 OT ✺
26.09.26	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:5 ✺
13.09.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLWWL
- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.10.26	Ässät U20 - HIFK U20	2:1 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Tappara U20 - Ässät U20	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Ässät U20 - Ilves U20	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	2:1 penalties ✺
20.09.26	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ässät U20	2:0
Finnish SM-sarja U20
30.01.26	Ässät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:4
29.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ässät U20	2:3
26.10.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ässät U20	6:2
13.03.24	Ässät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:3 OT
01.03.24	Ässät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3
15.10.23	Ässät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:6

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