The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vancouver Giants 34.4%
Draw 22%
Tri-City Americans 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
21.4%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
22.2%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vancouver Giants's form might have worsened.
Tri-City Americans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tri-City Americans's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Giants than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver Giants, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tri-City Americans than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tri-City Americans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Pyne K. (G)
35. Grout R. (G)
16. Chorney B.
71. Abougouche I.
15. Domenichelli Leonardo
3. Adam J.
18. Gerrior C.
10. Bouchard A.
2. Hartmann K.
12. Dale C.
4. Lin R. (C)
77. Elick C. (A)
28. Marrelli T.
66. Garland G. (A)
6. McCloskey L.
19. Gudelj J.
27. Mittelsteadt E. (A)
13. Kingerski C.
12. Olson B.
11. Koch C.
20. Oreskovic J. (A)
20. Laing A.
8. Pawlenchuk J.
2. LeBret D.
29. Preston M.
28. Martin G.
17. Pura L.
24. Martinson C.
19. Sharpe W.
17. McKinnon J.
34. Skok J.
27. Mykichuk M.
21. Titlbach A.
9. Pavao C.
13. Tomik T.
21. Savage C. (A)
7. Volotovskii M.
25. Vanecek J.
16. Virk S.
Substitutes
35. Hood B. (G)
30. Wendt X. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:32, 1 - 0, Lin R. (G), Marrelli T. (A), Oreskovic J. (A2)
05:23, 2 - 0, Lin R. (G), Preston M. (A), Tomik T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:29, 2 - 1, Virk S. (G), Pavao C. (A), Martinson C. (A2)
09:13, 3 - 1, McCloskey L. (G), Skok J. (A), Chorney B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:39, 3 - 2, Vanecek J. (G), LeBret D. (A), Garland G. (A2)
12:38, 3 - 3, Kingerski C. (G), Bouchard A. (A), Martin G. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01', 4 - 3, (G),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 2.
Vancouver is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tri-City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tri-City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tri-City has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 75:61. (average 3.8:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 50:35. (average 4.5:3.2).