Match Info

NHL

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Top Event
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Vegas Golden Knights		Boston Bruins

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.5	4.2	Watch
	1.68	4.67	4.09
	1.73	4.51	3.96
	1.68	4.79	3.93	Watch
	1.73	4.61	3.96	Watch
	1.69	4.6	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	4.61 ↓ (4.79)	4.01 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegas Golden Knights
55.8%

Draw
20.5%

Boston Bruins
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

19.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

18.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Boston Bruins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Bruins than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Boston will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boston (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Boston (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 1 - 25%). Boston (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Schmid A. (G)	1. Swayman J. (G)
27. Theodore S.	73. McAvoy C.
3. McNabb B.	6. Lohrei M.
61. Stone M.	88. Pastrnak D.
9. Eichel J.	28. Lindholm E.
49. Barbashev I.	39. Geekie M.
Line 2
2. Whitecloud Z.	20. Jokiharju H.
17. Hutton B.	91. Zadorov N.
93. Marner M.	71. Arvidsson V.
48. Hertl T.	11. Mittelstadt C.
16. Dorofeyev P.	18. Zacha P.
Line 3
6. Korczak K.	26. Peeke A.
5. Lauzon J.	43. Harris J.
19. Smith R.	81. Eyssimont M.
71. Karlsson W.	93. Minten F.
20. Saad B.	84. Jeannot T.
Line 4
55. Kolesar K.	47. Kastelic M.
10. Sissons C.	52. Kuraly S.
23. Reinhardt C.	48. Truchon-Viel J.
Substitutes
33. Hill A. (G)	70. Korpisalo J. (G)
Coaches
. Cassidy B.	. Sturm M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
02:05, 0 - 1, Jeannot T. (G), McAvoy C. (A), Eyssimont M. (A2)
03:35, 1 - 1, Dorofeyev P. (G), Marner M. (A), Whitecloud Z. (A2)
16:44, 1 - 2, Zadorov N. (G), Jokiharju H. (A), Kuraly S. (A2)
18:33, 2 - 2, Reinhardt C. (G), Hutton B. (A), Sissons C. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
04:14, 3 - 2, Eichel J. (G), Stone M. (A), Barbashev I. (A2)
05:27, Lindholm E. (2 min),
06:35, 4 - 2, Hertl T. (G), Dorofeyev P. (A), Stone M. (A2)
07:16, Lauzon J. (2 min),
08:15, 4 - 3, Pastrnak D. (G), Geekie M. (A), Lindholm E. (A2)
10:26, Eyssimont M. (2 min),
10:57, Zacha P. (2 min),
16:50, Korczak K. (2 min),
18:24, 5 - 3, Karlsson W. (G), Stone M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:02, McAvoy C. (2 min),
02:19, 6 - 3, Karlsson W. (G), Marner M. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
04:05, 6 - 4, Kastelic M. (G), Kuraly S. (A),
05:12, 6 - 5, Eyssimont M. (G), Lohrei M. (A),
09:14, Hertl T. (2 min),
18:56, Geekie M. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 3.

Vegas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Boston has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vegas is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Vegas: Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Boston: Lindholm H. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Vegas: Hanifin N. (Injury) Hill A. (Lower-Body Injury) Howden B. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:39. (average 2.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 2.6:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.24%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
14.10.25	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	2:4 ✺
11.10.25	Seattle Kraken - Vegas Golden Knights	2:1 OT ✺
09.10.25	San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4 OT ✺
08.10.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Los Angeles Kings	5:6 penalties ✺
03.10.25	Vegas Golden Knights - San Jose Sharks	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL
- Boston Bruins
NHL
13.10.25	Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4 ✺
11.10.25	Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres	3:1 ✺
09.10.25	Boston Bruins - Chicago Blackhawks	4:3 OT ✺
08.10.25	Washington Capitals - Boston Bruins	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Boston Bruins - New York Rangers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
20.03.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins	5:1
08.02.25	Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4
29.02.24	Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights	5:4
11.01.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins	2:1 OT
11.12.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins	1:3
05.12.22	Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4 penalties
03.03.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins	2:5

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