Match Info

NHL

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Calgary Flames		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	3	4	2.1	Watch
	2.77	4.14	2.23
	2.7	4.15	2.31
	2.69	4.2	2.26	Watch
	2.75	4	2.25
	2.73	4.4	2.29
	2.9	4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.95)	4.13 ↓ (4.31)	2.23 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Flames
34.1%

Draw
23.1%

Vegas Golden Knights
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

21.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

21.4%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Vegas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Calgary (votes: 2 - 40%). Vegas (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Cooley D. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
4. Andersson R. (A)	3. McNabb B. (A)
7. Bahl K.	15. Hanifin N.
27. Coronato M.	16. Dorofeyev P.
16. Frost M.	48. Hertl T. (A)
10. Huberdeau J.	20. Saad B.
Line 2
52. Weegar M.	2. Whitecloud Z.
37. Kuznetsov Y.	17. Hutton B.
17. Sharangovich Y.	42. Bowman B.
91. Kadri N.	93. Marner M.
86. Farabee J.	49. Barbashev I.
Line 3
48. Brzustewicz H.	6. Korczak K.
44. Hanley J.	5. Lauzon J.
20. Coleman B. (A)	61. Stone M. (C)
11. Backlund M. (C)	21. Howden B.
47. Zary C.	19. Smith R.
Line 4
43. Klapka A.	55. Kolesar K.
18. Beecher J.	10. Sissons C.
70. Lomberg R.	23. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
32. Wolf D. (G)	79. Hart C. (G)
Coaches
. Huska R.	. Cassidy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
03:54, 1 - 0, Backlund M. (G), Coleman B. (A), Zary C. (A2)
08:42, 2 - 0, Klapka A. (G), Kuznetsov Y. (A), Weegar M. (A2)
10:03, 2 - 1, Smith R. (G), Stone M. (A), Whitecloud Z. (A2)
15:45, 3 - 1, Lomberg R. (G), Zary C. (A), Beecher J. (A2)
15:49, Lomberg R. (5 min),
15:49, Lauzon J. (5 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
08:38, 4 - 1, Backlund M. (G), Weegar M. (A), Zary C. (A2)
11:07, Frost M. (2 min),
12:21, 5 - 1, Farabee J. (G), Weegar M. (A),
14:34, 5 - 2, Korczak K. (G), Marner M. (A), Hertl T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
15:50, Kuznetsov Y. (2 min),
16:03, 5 - 3, Stone M. (G), Hanifin N. (A), Marner M. (A2)
19:15, 6 - 3, Huberdeau J. (G),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vegas has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury) Pospisil M. (Injury)

There will not play in Vegas: Eichel J. (Lower-Body Injury) Hill A. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Vegas: Theodore S. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 52:70. (average 2.6:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Calgary Flames - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.02%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Flames
NHL
18.12.25	Calgary Flames - Seattle Kraken	4:2 ✺
16.12.25	San Jose Sharks - Calgary Flames	6:3 ✺
13.12.25	Los Angeles Kings - Calgary Flames	1:2 OT ✺
10.12.25	Calgary Flames - Detroit Red Wings	3:4 ✺
08.12.25	Calgary Flames - Buffalo Sabres	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWLW
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
17.12.25	Vegas Golden Knights - New Jersey Devils	1:2 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 ✺
11.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT ✺
09.12.25	New York Islanders - Vegas Golden Knights	5:4 penalties ✺
07.12.25	New York Rangers - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
18.10.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames	6:1
14.10.25	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	2:4
15.04.25	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	5:4 penalties
05.04.25	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT
29.12.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames	3:0
28.10.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames	5:0
14.03.24	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	4:1

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