Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Vermont Catamounts		Providence Friars

	1	X	2
	3.35	4.45	1.73
	3.45	4.25	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	4.35 ↓ (4.4)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vermont Catamounts
26.8%

Draw
20.9%

Providence Friars
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

20.7%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

21.2%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vermont Catamounts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Providence Friars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vermont Catamounts than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (-2%)

Vermont Catamounts - Providence Friars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)

Preview

Recent form of Vermont has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Providence is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Providence will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Providence will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vermont won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.6:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vermont won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Vermont Catamounts: 0.52%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vermont Catamounts hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Vermont Catamounts - Providence Friars	2:5 ✺
14.02.26	Vermont Catamounts - UMass Lowell River Hawks	2:5 ✺
13.02.26	Vermont Catamounts - UMass Lowell River Hawks	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Providence Friars - Vermont Catamounts	6:1 ✺
06.02.26	Boston College Eagles - Vermont Catamounts	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLLW
- Providence Friars hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Vermont Catamounts - Providence Friars	2:5 ✺
14.02.26	Providence Friars - Northeastern Huskies	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Providence Friars - Northeastern Huskies	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Providence Friars - Vermont Catamounts	6:1 ✺
06.02.26	New Hampshire Wildcats - Providence Friars	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Vermont Catamounts - Providence Friars	2:5
07.02.26	Providence Friars - Vermont Catamounts	6:1
28.10.23	Providence Friars - Vermont Catamounts	2:3 penalties
27.10.23	Providence Friars - Vermont Catamounts	4:1
05.02.23	Vermont Catamounts - Providence Friars	1:3

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