The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Deer Rebels 46.6%
Draw 20.4%
Calgary Hitmen 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.6%
20.3%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
21.5%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Deer Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Calgary Hitmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Deer Rebels than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Red Deer Rebels - Calgary Hitmen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kondro M. (G)
30. Hesse A. (G)
11. Andersen P.
17. Amrhein L.
26. Arcand Vandale C.
15. Anaka G.
19. Banicevic J.
7. Aura H. (A)
6. Chadi N.
3. Batchelor T.
15. DeWitt O.
29. Brown B. (A)
21. Hamilton B. (C)
23. Correia A.
2. Kamas J.
4. Hamilton C.
9. Kuzma C.
26. Hildebrandt S.
7. Lindgren Z. (A)
21. Jundt K.
17. Lisy M.
11. Katsuro A.
23. Madill P.
5. Laylin B.
24. Meyer K.
27. Maze J.
3. Missura J. (A)
10. McCann K.
10. Peterson G.
37. McGlynn T.
28. Pickering G.
8. Molgachyov A.
20. Sopiarz P. (A)
9. Sanderson C. (C)
8. Temple C.
2. Simard M.
14. Varga K.
18. Vanek B.
Substitutes
30. Salisbury N. (G)
31. Tu E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
11:59, 0 - 1, Anaka G. (G), Sanderson C. (A), Hamilton C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:50, 1 - 1, Hamilton B. (G), Missura J. (A),
3rd Period (4 - 1)
00:58, 2 - 1, Andersen P. (G), Lisy M. (A), Hamilton B. (A2)
05:06, 3 - 1, Kamas J. (G), Kuzma C. (A), Lisy M. (A2)
10:29, 4 - 1, Varga K. (G), Hamilton B. (A), Lisy M. (A2)
13:16, 4 - 2, Vanek B. (G), Brown B. (A), Laylin B. (A2)
18:59, 5 - 2, Temple C. (G), Hamilton B. (A), Lindgren Z. (A2)
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - WHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - WHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Deer won 1.
Red Deer has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Calgary is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Calgary could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Red Deer is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Red Deer has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:89 (averaging 2.1:4.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Red Deer against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 23:47 goals (averaging 2.3:4.7 per game).