The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Salzburg 71%
Draw 15.4%
TWK Innsbruck 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.6%
16.2%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
13.5%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Salzburg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Red Bull Salzburg - TWK Innsbruck Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Red Bull Salzburg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Innsbruck will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Tolvanen A. (G)
38. Harvey S. (G)
95. Horl L.
77. Lindner P. (A)
22. Robertson D.
59. Messner J. (A)
3. Schneider P. (A)
95. Scherbak N.
70. Nissner B.
96. Owre S.
24. Poisson N.
21. Benker S.
Line 2
62. Kalynuk W.
18. Mayer C.
4. Nienhuis N.
65. Kernberger M.
96. Huber M. (A)
47. Witting M. (C)
77. Brooks A.
16. Richards J.
5. Raffl T. (C)
71. Macierzynski K.
Line 3
6. Lee J.
13. Frimmel W.
44. Galipeau O.
12. Wichers Q.
26. Hochkofler P.
20. Rappold K.
9. Wukovits A.
22. Davis B.
16. Auer L. C.
63. Bretschneider N.
Line 4
7. Wurzer M.
5. Kerber N.
49. Norlin I.
29. Klingler L.
93. Lanzinger F.
44. Mader T.
68. Gesson A.
89. Bar L.
8. Bohm M.
Substitutes
30. Kickert D. (G)
81. Brandner J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
04:13, 1 - 0, Raffl T. (G), Robertson D. (A),
05:45, 1 - 1, Richards J. (G), Lindner P. (A), Macierzynski K. (A2)
09:26, 2 - 1, Nissner B. (G), Lee J. (A), Kalynuk W. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:25, 2 - 2, Owre S. (G), Benker S. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Huber M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Richards J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nissner B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Benker S. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Bull Salzburg won 5.
Recent results have been tough for Red Bull Salzburg (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Innsbruck has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Red Bull Salzburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Innsbruck has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The betting markets point to Red Bull Salzburg as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:39 (averaging 3.7:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Red Bull Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 39:21 goals (averaging 3.9:2.1 per game).
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Tolvanen A. (G) 
Harvey S. (G) 
Scherbak N. 
Benker S. 
Mayer C. 
Hochkofler P. 
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