The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vipiteno 43%
Draw 22.5%
Cortina 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
21.7%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
22%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vipiteno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
The chances for Cortina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vipiteno than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Vipiteno - Cortina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
22. Fiske J. (G)
36. Mantler I. (G)
2. Gschnitzer J.
12. Panciera G.
5. Hell H.
80. Reini R.
54. Conci D.
26. Perino D.
90. Cianfrone B.
28. Alvera T.
37. Gschliesser F.
15. Huhtanen E.
Line 2
91. Brunner A.
18. Constantini L.
21. Soraruf D.
27. Rein N.
16. Niccolai M.
24. Barnabo L.
12. Livingston J.
5. Sanna M.
10. Randklev C.
97. Lacedelli G.
Line 3
18. Tirelli D.
47. Sukhytskyi S.
9. Belpedio N.
25. Steinwandter A.
61. Kruselburger L.
21. Eruzione D.
93. Covelli M.
76. Adami F.
41. Hofer E.
65. Toffoli G.
Line 4
13. Oberhuber F.
15. Rainer I.
79. Kerschbaumer J.
Substitutes
30. Klammer F. (G)
43. Pompanin A. (G)
89. Talamini R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
19:20, 0 - 1, Eruzione D. (G), Constantini L. (A), Talamini R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:30, 1 - 1, Hofer E. (G), Belpedio N. (A), Covelli M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:18, 1 - 2, Barnabo L. (G), Reini R. (A), Sanna M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vipiteno won 3.
In recent outings, Vipiteno has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cortina has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cortina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vipiteno has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:59 (averaging 2.5:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vipiteno against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 27:31 goals (averaging 2.7:3.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
D
LO
L
Pts
10
Vipiteno
10
2
2
0
1
5
33:40
11
12
Cortina
11
1
2
0
1
7
21:38
8
Last Results with these Odds
Cortina - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.