Match Info

Extraliga - Round 38

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Enteria Arena (Pardubice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay


	Pardubice		Vítkovice Steel

	1	X	2
	1.53	5	4.75	Watch
	1.5	5	5	Watch
	1.5	4.85	5.18
	1.44	4.75	4.8
	1.53	4.85	4.94	Watch
	1.58	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.83 ↑ (4.77)	4.9 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pardubice
61.6%

Draw
19.3%

Vítkovice Steel
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

19.5%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

19.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vítkovice Steel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Pardubice - Vítkovice Steel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Will R. (G)	49. Hrachovina D. (G)
33. Kostalek J.	41. Wesley J.
24. Hajek L.	8. Demel P. (A)
89. Mandat J.	91. Edmonds L.
23. Sedlak L. (C)	19. Nellis A.
19. Cervenka R. (A)	11. Kalus M. (A)
Line 2
41. Ceresnak P. (A)	12. Knazko S.
7. Dvorak T.	73. Budik V.
61. Kaut M.	16. Rehak F.
11. Kondelik J.	27. Hrivik M. (C)
29. Kelemen M.	86. Pribyl M.
Line 3
43. Gazda D.	26. Port V.
79. Tourigny M.	38. Zboril J.
14. Fejes H.	23. Lednicky V.
71. Sobotka V.	67. Hladonik J.
90. Kousal R.	22. Fasner S.
Line 4
4. Miklis O.	5. Bruna P.
55. Vondracek T.	34. Macias K.
44. Poulicek P.	89. Sir J.
88. Stransky J.	82. Nazad M.
Substitutes
30. Matecha L. (G)	33. Klimes L. (G)
Coaches
. Pesan F.	. Varada V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:32, 0 - 1, Nellis A. (G), Edmonds L. (A), Kalus M. (A2)
14:53, Hladonik J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:16, 1 - 1, Vondracek T. (G), Poulicek P. (A), Stransky J. (A2)
10:07, Kelemen M. (2 min),
14:50, Demel P. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:42, 2 - 1, Kaut M. (G), Gazda D. (A),
04:51, Knazko S. (2 min),
04:51, Knazko S. (2 min),
11:54, 3 - 1, Kousal R. (G), Kaut M. (A),
18:47, Cervenka R. (2 min),
19:03, 4 - 1, Mandat J. (G), Ceresnak P. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 2.

Pardubice is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Vítkovice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Pardubice is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Pardubice: Ludvig J. (Leg Injury) Smejkal J. (Upper-Body Injury) Subban M. (Injury)

There will not play in Vítkovice: Freibergs R. (Lower-Body Injury) Hanzl M. (Lower-Body Injury) Leahy J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Pardubice: Lauko J. (Leg Injury) Pekar M. (Hand Injury)

There are questionable in Vítkovice: Abdul J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 65:49. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 3.5:2.3).

Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now

Pardubice: 38.32% Vitkovice: 1.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Pardubice	10	8	0	0	2	42:27	24
12	Vitkovice	8	2	0	1	5	21:29	7

Last Results with these Odds

Pardubice - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 60.54%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSOB Pojistovna Pardubice
Czech Extraliga
02.01.26	Energie Karlovy Vary - Pardubice	3:2 OT ✺
30.12.25	Pardubice - Verva Litvínov	3:2 ✺
28.12.25	Kometa Brno - Pardubice	1:4 ✺
26.12.25	Pardubice - Oceláři Třinec	5:3 ✺
23.12.25	Rytíři Kladno - Pardubice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- Vítkovice Steel
Czech Extraliga
02.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - Oceláři Třinec	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Motor České Budějovice - Vítkovice Steel	2:3 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Vítkovice Steel - Mountfield Hradec Králové	3:5 ✺
26.12.25	Olomouc - Vítkovice Steel	0:6 ✺
23.12.25	Vítkovice Steel - Bílí Tygři Liberec	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
23.11.25	Vítkovice Steel - Pardubice	3:2
05.10.25	Pardubice - Vítkovice Steel	3:4
12.02.25	Vítkovice Steel - Pardubice	3:1
26.11.24	Pardubice - Vítkovice Steel	6:1
03.11.24	Pardubice - Vítkovice Steel	6:2
27.09.24	Vítkovice Steel - Pardubice	3:4
14.02.24	Pardubice - Vítkovice Steel	5:3

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