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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 53.4%
Draw 21.3%
Seattle Kraken 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
22.1%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
22.5%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Washington Capitals's performance.
Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Washington Capitals that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Kraken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Washington Capitals - Seattle Kraken Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Seattle (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Washington Capitals will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
35. Daccord J. (G)
27. Liljegren T.
6. Larsson A.
6. Chychrun J.
29. Dunn V.
21. Protas A.
11. Samoskevich M.
62. Protas I.
10. Beniers M.
8. Ovechkin A.
19. McCann J.
Line 2
73. Desharnais V.
62. Montour B.
42. Fehervary M.
41. Evans R.
43. Wilson T.
7. Eberle J.
34. Sourdif J.
9. Stephenson C.
89. Tuch A.
74. McMann B.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.
46. Ottavainen V.
44. Hutson C.
28. Mahura J.
25. Kyrou J.
51. Wright S.
17. Strome D.
27. Catton B.
9. Leonard R.
84. Kakko K.
Line 4
72. Beauvillier A.
26. Winterton R.
22. Jenner B.
89. Gaudreau F.
53. Frank E.
59. Meyers B.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
31. Grubauer P. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Lambert L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
01:00, Evans R. (2 min),
02:48, Stephenson C. (2 min),
06:06, 0 - 1, Kakko K. (G), Dunn V. (A), Larsson A. (A2)
11:41, 1 - 1, Kyrou J. (G), Hutson C. (A), Leonard R. (A2)
13:21, McIlrath D. (2 min),
16:47, 2 - 1, Ovechkin A. (G), Protas I. (A), Protas A. (A2)
19:49, 2 - 2, Eberle J. (G), Stephenson C. (A), McMann B. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:24, 2 - 3, Gaudreau F. (G), Winterton R. (A), Meyers B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:46, 3 - 3, Jenner B. (G),
02:58, Strome D. (2 min),
14:33, 3 - 4, McCann J. (G), Montour B. (A), Evans R. (A2)
17:20, 3 - 5, Winterton R. (G), Meyers B. (A), Gaudreau F. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 4.
Washington is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Seattle have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Seattle may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Washington for this game.
Confirmed absences for Washington: Roy M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sandin R.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Seattle: Lindgren R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Melanson J.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Washington: Dubois P.
(Illness).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Washington has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:24 (averaging 2.8:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Washington against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:10 goals (averaging 3.6:2 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 5.52% Seattle Kraken: 0.3%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.87%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Seattle Kraken - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 30.01%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Thompson L. (G) 
Daccord J. (G) 
Liljegren T. 
Protas A. 
Ovechkin A. 
Fehervary M. 
Ottavainen V. 
Grubauer P. (G) 
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