Match Info

NHL

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Washington Capitals		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	1.96	4.25	3.05	Watch
	1.98	4.10	3.00
	2.00	4.30	3.15
	2.09	4.39	2.91
	2	4.41	3.06	Watch
	2.02	4.35	3.00
	2.06	4.43	2.97
	2.05	4.20	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)	4.3 ↑ (4.1)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
46.7%

Draw
21.9%

Pittsburgh Penguins
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

22.6%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Washington Capitals - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - over (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
27. Liljegren T.	65. Karlsson E.
6. Chychrun J.	72. Carlile D.
43. Wilson T. (A)	67. Rakell R.
80. Dubois P.	87. Crosby S. (C)
89. Tuch A.	22. Lapierre H.
Line 2
73. Desharnais V.	6. Korczak K.
42. Fehervary M.	49. Girard S.
72. Beauvillier A.	71. Malkin E. (A)
17. Strome D.	18. Novak T.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	59. Chinakhov Y.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.	58. Letang K. (A)
44. Hutson C.	57. Van Riemsdyk T.
25. Kyrou J.	17. Rust B.
62. Protas I.	81. Kindel B.
21. Protas A.	41. Koivunen V.
Line 4
9. Leonard R.	14. Robertson N.
34. Sourdif J.	46. Lizotte B.
22. Jenner B.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)	1. Murashov S. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:23, 1 - 0, Beauvillier A. (G), Strome D. (A),
01:19, 1 - 1, Rust B. (G), Kindel B. (A), Girard S. (A2)
05:31, Koivunen V. (2 min),
06:47, Robertson N. (2 min),
11:51, 2 - 1, Wilson T. (G), Dubois P. (A),
13:45, Leonard R. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:42, 3 - 1, Dubois P. (G), Wilson T. (A),
13:14, 4 - 1, Tuch A. (G), Wilson T. (A),
14:05, 4 - 2, Novak T. (G),
18:01, 4 - 3, Robertson N. (G), Korczak K. (A), Lizotte B. (A2)
18:53, Chychrun J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:58, Van Riemsdyk T. (2 min),
03:55, 5 - 3, Leonard R. (G), Kyrou J. (A), Hutson C. (A2)
06:56, Lizotte B. (2 min),
10:38, Dubois P. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.

Washington has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Pittsburgh have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Washington could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Washington holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Washington: Sandin R. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Pittsburgh: Brazeau J. (Lower-Body Injury) Graves R. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Washington: Roy M. (Lower-Body Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Pittsburgh: Rust B. (Upper-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Washington has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:61 (averaging 3.4:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Washington against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 26:32 goals (averaging 2.4:2.9 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.61% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.51%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.89%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
03.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Washington Capitals	2:5 ✺
26.09.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Washington Capitals	1:5 ✺
25.09.26	Washington Capitals - Boston Bruins	3:2 AET ✺
21.09.26	Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWWW
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
05.10.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Winnipeg Jets	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens	6:5 OT ✺
30.09.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Pittsburgh Penguins	0:7 ✺
26.09.26	Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:3 ✺
24.09.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
12.04.26	Washington Capitals - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:0
11.04.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals	3:6
06.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals	5:3
17.04.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals	5:2
22.02.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals	3:8
18.01.25	Washington Capitals - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:1
08.11.24	Washington Capitals - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:4

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