Match Info

NHL

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		Montreal Canadiens

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.2	2.8	Watch
	2.16	4.12	2.89
	2.12	4.3	2.87	Watch
	2.2	4	2.88
	2.11	4.33	2.92
	2.1	4.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)	4.21 ↑ (4.19)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
44.4%

Draw
22.6%

Montreal Canadiens
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

22.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montreal Canadiens will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)	35. Montembeault S. (G)
74. Carlson J.	53. Dobson N.
38. Sandin R.	8. Matheson M.
21. Protas A.	85. Texier A.
17. Strome D.	14. Suzuki N.
8. Ovechkin A.	13. Caufield C.
Line 2
3. Roy M.	45. Carrier A.
42. Fehervary M.	48. Hutson L.
9. Leonard R.	93. Demidov I.
24. McMichael C.	91. Kapanen O.
72. Beauvillier A.	20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.	72. Xhekaj A.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	21. Guhle K.
53. Frank E.	11. Gallagher B.
26. Dowd N.	24. Danault P.
22. Duhaime B.	76. Bolduc Z.
Line 4
20. Leason B.	17. Anderson J.
29. Lapierre H.	90. Veleno J.
15. Milano S.	27. Blais S.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)	32. Fowler J. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. St. Louis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:59, Fehervary M. (2 min),
07:55, Veleno J. (2 min),
08:14, 0 - 1, Anderson J. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:40, 0 - 2, Gallagher B. (G), Danault P. (A), Bolduc Z. (A2)
08:03, McIlrath D. (5 min),
08:03, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
08:03, Xhekaj A. (5 min),
11:14, Caufield C. (2 min),
17:31, Strome D. (2 min),
18:27, Dowd N. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
05:06, 1 - 2, Frank E. (G), Roy M. (A), Sandin R. (A2)
10:24, Blais S. (2 min),
13:42, Dowd N. (2 min),
13:42, Dowd N. (10 min),
18:06, 2 - 2, Frank E. (G), Sandin R. (A), Beauvillier A. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:54, Suzuki N. (2 min),
04:21, 3 - 2, McMichael C. (G), Strome D. (A), Sandin R. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 4.

Recent performances by Washington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montreal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.

Washington will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Washington: Chychrun J. (Illness) Dubois P. (Abdominal strain) Wilson T. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Montreal: Anderson J. (Upper-Body Injury) Dach K. (Broken Leg) Evans J. (Lower-Body Injury) Laine P. (Abdominal strain) Newhook A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Washington: Sourdif J. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 86:59. (average 4.3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:25. (average 4.1:2.5).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% Montreal Canadiens: 3.83%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.56%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
11.01.26	Nashville Predators - Washington Capitals	3:2 ✺
09.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Washington Capitals	1:5 ✺
07.01.26	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	1:4 ✺
05.01.26	Washington Capitals - Anaheim Ducks	7:4 ✺
03.01.26	Washington Capitals - Chicago Blackhawks	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- Montreal Canadiens
NHL
12.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Vancouver Canucks	6:3 ✺
10.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Detroit Red Wings	0:4 ✺
08.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Florida Panthers	6:2 ✺
07.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Calgary Flames	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Dallas Stars - Montreal Canadiens	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
20.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals	4:8
30.04.25	Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens	4:1
27.04.25	Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals	2:5
25.04.25	Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals	6:3
23.04.25	Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens	3:1
21.04.25	Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 OT
10.01.25	Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens	2:3 OT

Upcoming Matches