The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Windsor Spitfires 57.9%
Draw 19.3%
Peterborough Petes 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
17.9%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
19.8%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Windsor Spitfires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Windsor Spitfires's form might have worsened.
Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (-3%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Costanzo J. (G)
30. Rye E. (G)
61. Belchetz E.
15. Cameron C. (C)
5. Brown J.
7. Carter H.
44. Cristoforo A. (A)
91. DiCunzolo G.
78. Davis C.
28. Faulkner B.
53. Dubowsky C.
8. Frazer G.
7. Fibigr J.
19. Hammond B.
77. Garden E.
4. Hartnell C.
66. Greentree L. (C)
12. Kolarik L.
11. Harvey C.
10. Levac A.
2. Kennedy W.
16. Novotny A.
80. Makysh B.
18. Parish F.
17. McLaughlin J.
11. Partridge B.
71. Nesbitt J. (A)
72. Perreault M.
72. Pharand A.
71. Petrovski J. (A)
27. Robinson A.
92. Soto M.
8. Spellacy A. (A)
6. Strohack G.
89. Villeneuve N.
22. Walton K.
28. Walton C.
26. Young A. (A)
24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
30. Newlove M. (G)
34. Johnston M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
08:23, 1 - 0, Fibigr J. (G), Cristoforo A. (A), Harvey C. (A2)
09:26, 2 - 0, Greentree L. (G), Woodall C. (A), Walton C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:59, 2 - 1, Walton K. (G), Young A. (A),
08:47, 2 - 2, Hartnell C. (G), Walton K. (A), Carter H. (A2)
12:18, 3 - 2, Greentree L. (G), Spellacy A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:21, 3 - 3, Soto M. (G), Faulkner B. (A), Young A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Kolarik L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Greentree L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Walton K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Belchetz E. (Penalty Shot),
3, Novotny A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))
Windsor is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
Peterborough is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Windsor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Windsor is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 87:66. (average 4.4:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Windsor won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:29. (average 4.3:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Windsor Spitfires - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.25%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Peterborough Petes - the odds 5.14 are the expected chance of winning is 17.88%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.