Match Info

OHL

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Meridian Centre (St. Catharines, ON)


	Niagara IceDogs		Peterborough Petes

	1	X	2
	3.51	5.12	1.69
	3.52	5.03	1.66	Watch
	3.6	4.6	1.65
	3.4	4.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.23)	4.81 ↑ (4.76)	1.66 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niagara IceDogs
26%

Draw
18.9%

Peterborough Petes
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

19.3%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

20.7%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough Petes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)	30. Rye E. (G)
72. Barnes B.	15. Cameron C. (C)
33. Chromiak J.	7. Carter H.
12. Czata E. (C)	28. Faulkner B.
27. Dell'Elce S.	8. Frazer G.
44. Doherty S.	4. Hartnell C.
17. Edgar R.	12. Kolarik L.
92. Galiyanov I.	10. Levac A.
9. Hage A.	44. Lutz Y.
64. Hull C.	29. McCallum B. (A)
19. Monks J.	16. Novotny A.
21. Patterson R. (A)	18. Parish F.
93. Read N.	11. Partridge B.
16. Reid H.	72. Perreault M.
3. Reisnecker B.	71. Petrovski J. (A)
61. Simon Wang	92. Soto M.
43. Smith R.	6. Strohack G.
49. Spencer L.	22. Walton K.
8. Tiller G. (A)	26. Young A. (A)
Substitutes
77. Robertson C. (G)	34. Johnston M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
14:03, 0 - 1, Faulkner B. (G),
15:10, 0 - 2, Faulkner B. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:34, 0 - 3, Perreault M. (G), Levac A. (A), Soto M. (A2)
12:44, 1 - 3, Chromiak J. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:43, 1 - 4, Novotny A. (G),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Niagara is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

Peterborough is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Peterborough might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 49:87. (average 2.5:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 2.2:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Niagara IceDogs - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.46%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
05.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit	4:5 penalties ✺
01.03.26	North Bay Battalion - Niagara IceDogs	5:0 ✺
27.02.26	Guelph Storm - Niagara IceDogs	2:3 penalties ✺
26.02.26	Niagara IceDogs - Erie Otters	5:4 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLWWW
- Peterborough Petes
OHL
05.03.26	Peterborough Petes - Ottawa 67s	1:0 OT ✺
01.03.26	Flint Firebirds - Peterborough Petes	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Peterborough Petes	5:2 ✺
26.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Peterborough Petes	4:3 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Peterborough Petes - Brantford Bulldogs	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
17.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	1:0
18.12.25	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	5:2
30.11.25	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	3:6
12.01.25	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	2:5
31.12.24	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	3:2
01.12.24	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	4:3 OT
29.10.24	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	1:2 penalties

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