The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wings Arlanda 23.4%
Draw 20.5%
Kalix 56.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
19.8%
55.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
21.1%
52.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wings Arlanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Kalix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wings Arlanda than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalix than the current prediction. (-4%)
Wings Arlanda - Kalix Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
06:09, 1 - 0, Wiman W. (G), Yucel J. (A),
09:28, 2 - 0, Yucel J. (G), Lofstrom C. (A),
16:47, 2 - 1, von Gerdten R. (G), Lundberg L. (A), Pavlovics R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
01:08, 2 - 2, Lindqvist Nilsson R. (G), Kruukka A. (A), Claesson A. (A2)
01:22, 3 - 2, Wennas J. (G), Yucel J. (A),
06:20, 3 - 3, Saarinen R. (G), Olsson F. (A), Ruud E. (A2)
11:08, 3 - 4, Ideback N. (G), Lindqvist Nilsson R. (A),
11:33, 3 - 5, Lindback F. (G), Sateri A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:27, 3 - 6, Olsson F. (G), Ekblad A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arlanda won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Arlanda (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kalix has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kalix could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Arlanda has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Kalix for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:27 (averaging 1.8:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arlanda against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 4:16 goals (averaging 1:4 per game).