Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Wisconsin Badgers		Michigan State Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.2	1.92
	4.70	5.41	1.45	Watch
	2.9	4	1.95
	2.98	4.1	1.93	Watch
	2.85	4.25	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.87)	4.39 ↑ (4.08)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisconsin Badgers
28.3%

Draw
21%

Michigan State Spartans
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

22.2%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

23.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisconsin Badgers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisconsin Badgers than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michigan State Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisconsin won 2.

Wisconsin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Michigan State is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Wisconsin has had a series of home games.

Recently, Michigan State has had a series of away games.

Michigan State might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wisconsin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 41:51. (average 2.7:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisconsin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 3.3:3.1).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Michigan State Spartans: 7.24% Wisconsin Badgers: 3.55%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisconsin Badgers hockey
NCAA Hockey
15.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	3:4 ✺
10.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves	3:2 ✺
09.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves	5:0 ✺
29.12.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Western Michigan Broncos	1:4 ✺
28.12.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Lake Superior State Lakers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLW
- Michigan State Spartans hockey
NCAA Hockey
15.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	3:4 ✺
10.01.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Michigan State Spartans	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Michigan State Spartans	2:6 ✺
29.12.25	Michigan State Spartans - Michigan Tech Huskies	4:1 ✺
28.12.25	Ferris State Bulldogs - Michigan State Spartans	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
15.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	3:4
22.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Wisconsin Badgers	1:2 OT
21.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Wisconsin Badgers	4:5
04.01.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	3:4 OT
02.01.25	Michigan State Spartans - Wisconsin Badgers	4:3
07.12.24	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	2:3 OT
06.12.24	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	4:0

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