Match Info

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Worcester Railers		Newfoundland Growlers

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.2	2.45
	2.23	4.1	2.46
	2.2	4	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.21)	4.1 ↓ (4.23)	2.46 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester Railers
41%

Draw
22.1%

Newfoundland Growlers
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

21.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

22.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester Railers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Newfoundland Growlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester Railers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newfoundland Growlers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Worcester Railers - Newfoundland Growlers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Muse J. (G)	45. McKay D. (G)
11. Bakanov A.	7. Berezowski J.
16. Calder A.	48. Carter C.
44. Callin A.	6. Caufield B.
12. Cipollone J.	19. Cruikshank G.
10. Cosgrove T.	47. Dawe A.
70. Garat Z.	26. Gatenby J.
20. Heidemann A.	12. Gosselin M.
17. Howdeshell K.	5. Kapcheck B.
19. Jenkins B.	10. O'Brien Z.
7. Klee M.	22. Shea N.
37. Newkirk R.	42. Sikic M.
13. Pivonka J.	15. Skirving T.
18. Regula C.	44. Staios N.
15. Robbins B.	27. Suthers K.
9. Scarfo R.	4. Tabakin B.
3. Verrier R.	20. Tychonick J.
26. Welsh C.	36. Weiss T.
Substitutes
35. Spagnoli J. (G)	50. Peksa V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:17, 0 - 1, Cruikshank G. (G), Weiss T. (A), O'Brien Z. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:20, 0 - 2, O'Brien Z. (G), Cruikshank G. (A), Tychonick J. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
04:57, 1 - 2, Callin A. (G), Jenkins B. (A), Newkirk R. (A2)
11:45, 2 - 2, Jenkins B. (G), Callin A. (A), Bakanov A. (A2)
13:44, 3 - 2, Newkirk R. (G), Verrier R. (A), Jenkins B. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Worcester won 3.

Recent matches Worcester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newfoundland is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Worcester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Worcester won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 58-76.

Including matches at home between the teams Worcester won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester Railers
ECHL
27.03.24	Worcester Railers - Newfoundland Growlers	5:2 ✺
24.03.24	Reading Royals - Worcester Railers	3:6 ✺
20.03.24	Adirondack Thunder - Worcester Railers	5:2 ✺
15.03.24	Worcester Railers - Reading Royals	1:2 penalties ✺
13.03.24	Worcester Railers - Reading Royals	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLL
- Newfoundland Growlers Hockey
ECHL
27.03.24	Worcester Railers - Newfoundland Growlers	5:2 ✺
24.03.24	Maine Mariners - Newfoundland Growlers	5:3 ✺
11.03.24	Newfoundland Growlers - Idaho Steelheads	4:5 OT ✺
09.03.24	Newfoundland Growlers - Idaho Steelheads	6:2 ✺
03.03.24	Newfoundland Growlers - Kalamazoo Wings	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ECHL
27.03.24	Worcester Railers - Newfoundland Growlers	5:2
10.11.23	Newfoundland Growlers - Worcester Railers	4:0
09.11.23	Newfoundland Growlers - Worcester Railers	4:5
03.03.23	Worcester Railers - Newfoundland Growlers	3:1
20.01.23	Worcester Railers - Newfoundland Growlers	2:3
14.01.23	Newfoundland Growlers - Worcester Railers	6:4
13.01.23	Newfoundland Growlers - Worcester Railers	4:3 OT

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