The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Khimik 61.3%
Draw 20.5%
Yuzhny Ural Orsk 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
21.1%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
22.1%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Volokhin Y. (G)
91. Pastukh V. (G)
3. Ivanov D.
93. Zhurakov D.
4. Sokolov N. (C)
15. Puchkov Y. (A)
20. Buruyanov N. (A)
55. Grebenshchikov S.
10. Kukstel P.
8. Obidin A.
56. Avramov F.
9. Ugolnikov I.
Line 2
5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)
18. Alexeyev D.
13. Gavrilov I.
52. Vasin I.
26. Pashin A.
74. Lapshin I.
2. Varyushkin Y.
76. Boychuk D. (A)
22. Petrov M.
7. Gimatov E. (C)
Line 3
43. Krasnichuk A.
96. Lineitsev D.
33. Sobolev D.
88. Safonov I.
77. Zvyagin S.
80. Nikolenko L.
91. Korotkikh I.
13. Bryntsev M.
92. Yarovoi S.
82. Nizovkin M.
Line 4
53. Tyurin N.
77. Salikov G.
70. Bychkov R.
10. Shindyaev K.
7. Filimonov M.
79. Timashev I.
80. Gavrilov
71. Beizak S.
51. Sysoev D.
Substitutes
1. Pavlenko M. (G)
45. Nikitin V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
01:14, 1 - 0, Korotkikh I. (G), Zvyagin S. (A),
02:43, 1 - 1, Gimatov E. (G), Vasin I. (A), Lapshin I. (A2)
07:59, 2 - 1, Bychkov R. (G), Tyurin N. (A),
11:29, 2 - 2, Gimatov E. (G), Lineitsev D. (A), Alexeyev D. (A2)
18:29, 3 - 2, Petrov M. (G), Pashin A. (A), Bychkov R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:44, 3 - 3, Gimatov E. (G), Ugolnikov I. (A), Boychuk D. (A2)
10:57, 4 - 3, Pashin A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:25, 4 - 4, Gimatov E. (G), Lapshin I. (A), Boychuk D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:53, 4 - 5, Obidin A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 4.
Khimik is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Yuzhny Ural has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Yuzhny Ural may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Khimik has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Khimik is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Khimik in today's match, at odds of 1.47.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Khimik has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:45 (averaging 3.1:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Khimik against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 32:21 goals (averaging 3.2:2.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Khimik
14
6
2
2
4
46:28
18
7
Orsk
10
5
2
3
0
33:18
17
Last Results with these Odds
Khimik - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.55%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Volokhin Y. (G) 
Gavrilov I. 
Gavrilov 
Pavlenko M. (G) 
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