Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yubileiny Arena (small rink) (Saint Petersburg)


	Dinamo St. Petersburg		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.52	3.04
	1.86	3.45	2.95
	1.79	4.04	3.79	Watch
	1.79	3.95	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.78)	3.74 ↓ (4.2)	3.35 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo St. Petersburg
49%

Draw
24.1%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

22.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

23.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
83. Firsov I. (G)	91. Pastukh V. (G)
38. Berdyukov G. (C)	93. Zhurakov D.
67. Sarayev V.	15. Puchkov Y.
99. Boikov L. (A)	55. Grebenshchikov S.
90. Kozlov I.	19. Suslov K. (A)
96. Zinchenko I.	9. Ugolnikov I.
Line 2
19. Shepelev A.	18. Alexeyev D.
79. Gusev M. M.	52. Vasin I.
22. Anokhovsky N.	74. Lapshin I.
12. Rasskazov K.	76. Boychuk D. (A)
89. Ushakov Y.	7. Gimatov E. (C)
Line 3
11. Vasilyev K.	96. Lineitsev D.
91. Savushkin K.	88. Safonov I.
57. Golikov M.	10. Shindyaev K.
58. Ilyin D. (A)	8. Obidin A.
56. Kazakovtsev I.	71. Beizak S.
Line 4
55. Limatov K.	77. Salikov G.
43. Kalinin M.	80. Nikolenko L.
9. Davydov D.	13. Bryntsev M.
88. Ogirchuk D.	82. Nizovkin M.
Substitutes
73. Nazarov Y. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
04:50, 0 - 1, Lineitsev D. (G),
05:15, 0 - 2, Safonov I. (G), Bryntsev M. (A), Nizovkin M. (A2)
12:13, 0 - 3, Ugolnikov I. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
08:45, 0 - 4, Shindyaev K. (G), Puchkov Y. (A), Grebenshchikov S. (A2)
10:48, 0 - 5, Grebenshchikov S. (G), Vasin I. (A), Ugolnikov I. (A2)
19:34, 0 - 6, Boychuk D. (G), Lapshin I. (A), Ugolnikov I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:30, 0 - 7, Nizovkin M. (G), Nikolenko L. (A), Zhurakov D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Dinamo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dinamo SP has had a series of away games.

Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dinamo SP is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 56:51. (average 2.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo SP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 2.6:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Orsk	11	5	2	3	1	33:21	17
17	Dinamo St. Petersburg	12	5	1	1	5	35:39	13

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.64%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 25.05%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
11.09.26	Molot Perm - Dinamo St. Petersburg	6:4 ✺
09.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Izhstal - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:6 ✺
05.09.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Toros Neftekamsk	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWW
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
14.09.26	SKA-VMF - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	1:2 penalties ✺
04.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara	4:1 ✺
27.08.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Kristall Saratov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.02.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:3
05.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:1
08.02.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:5
11.10.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:5
VHL
16.01.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:4
05.10.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:7

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