The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zvezda Moscow 51.9%
Draw 23.5%
Yuzhny Ural Orsk 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
23.7%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
25.7%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zvezda Moscow's performance.
Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuzhny Ural Orsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zvezda Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuzhny Ural Orsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Zvezda Moscow will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
45. Nikitin V. (G)
23. Grushnikov A.
93. Zhurakov D.
7. Malyshev A. (A)
15. Puchkov Y. (A)
87. Yapparov Y.
55. Grebenshchikov S.
74. Frolov N.
19. Suslov K. (C)
56. Vlasenko D. (A)
9. Ugolnikov I.
Line 2
80. Barabosha A.
18. Alexeyev D.
15. Alexandrov D. (C)
52. Vasin I. (A)
97. Churkin A.
80. Nikolenko L.
98. Pankratov S.
13. Bryntsev M.
19. Prokhorov A.
82. Nizovkin M.
Line 3
3. Sidorov M.
96. Lineitsev D.
73. Rusakov A.
88. Safonov I.
42. Savvateyev V.
10. Shindyaev K.
53. Matveiko Y.
8. Obidin A.
84. Lagoda G.
71. Beizak S.
Line 4
63. Martynov E.
77. Salikov G.
37. Mikhailov N.
85. Manin Y.
75. Averochkin M.
79. Timashev I.
39. Kuzminov Y.
72. Rvachev V.
Substitutes
81. Kloberdanets M. (G)
91. Pastukh V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
09:30, 1 - 0, Churkin A. (G), Frolov N. (A), Tabatchikov V. (A2)
19:27, 2 - 0, Yapparov Y. (G), Frolov N. (A), Martynov E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:45, 2 - 1, Ugolnikov I. (G), Puchkov Y. (A),
10:38, 2 - 2, Vasin I. (G), Bryntsev M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Ugolnikov I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Frolov N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nizovkin M. (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Zvezda Moscow (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Yuzhny Ural has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Yuzhny Ural may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Zvezda Moscow has faced a series of away games on the road.
Zvezda Moscow is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zvezda Moscow has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:38 (averaging 2.6:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zvezda Moscow against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 27:25 goals (averaging 2.5:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Orsk
10
5
2
3
0
33:18
17
26
Zvezda Moscow
12
2
2
1
7
26:37
9
Last Results with these Odds
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
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Tabatchikov V. (G) 
Rusakov A. 
Martynov E. 
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