Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk)


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Sokol Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.93	2.25
	2.53	4.25	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.54)	4.09 ↑ (3.71)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
35.6%

Draw
23%

Sokol Krasnoyarsk
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

25.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sokol Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Ovcharik D. (G)	20. Dyubin A. (G)
39. Shabalin A.	19. Perfilyev A.
88. Krylov I. (A)	47. Martynov Y.
41. Paramonov D.	87. Kolesnikov N.
19. Litvinov I. (C)	92. Yakovlev Y. (A)
51. Kulyash D.	10. Knyazev A. (C)
Line 2
24. Salnikov E.	79. Gerikh M.
29. Papst R.	77. Elizarov P.
72. Rvachev V.	98. Konov V.
96. Kurkin M.	27. Skvortsov I. (A)
11. Mylnikov D.	25. Kazakov K.
Line 3
17. Kovalchuk P.	59. Volosenkov N.
27. Ostrovsky S.	43. Gavrilenko I.
77. Zakharov I.	66. Shuidin N.
91. Suslov K. (A)	34. Dzhioshvili V.
98. Kuimov Y.	81. Makarov R.
Line 4
55. Dolzhenko D.	28. Varagyan E.
10. Shindyaev K.	17. Voronin A.
79. Timashev I.	95. Korchagin O.
16. Rubtsov S.
Substitutes
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)	88. Todykov A. (G)
8. Vikulin K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:27, 0 - 1, Yakovlev Y. (G), Kolesnikov N. (A), Knyazev A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
13:33, 0 - 2, Dzhioshvili V. (G), Kolesnikov N. (A),
16:35, 1 - 2, Kuimov Y. (G), Timashev I. (A),
18:41, 1 - 3, Korchagin O. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Sokol Krasnoyarsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 44:57. (average 2.2:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.9:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.03%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
12.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	SKA-VMF - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:4 ✺
05.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:1 ✺
29.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWW
- Sokol Krasnoyarsk
VHL
09.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 penalties ✺
07.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Khimik	3:2 OT ✺
05.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:0 ✺
29.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.03.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3
08.09.24	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 OT
16.12.23	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3
22.10.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 OT
26.01.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3
28.09.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:5 OT
11.01.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:5

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