The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yuzhny Ural Orsk 33.3%
Draw 24.4%
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
22.3%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
23.2%
50%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuzhny Ural Orsk's performance.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftyanik Almetyevsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuzhny Ural Orsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftyanik Almetyevsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
16:01, 1 - 0, Nikolenko L. (G), Grebenshchikov S. (A), Nizovkin M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:53, 1 - 1, Galeyev I. (G), Zhulin T. (A),
09:24, 2 - 1, Nizovkin M. (G), Grebenshchikov S. (A), Salikov G. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 4.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Yuzhny Ural has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Yuzhny Ural has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:57 (averaging 2.1:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yuzhny Ural against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 18:29 goals (averaging 1.8:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Almetyevsk
13
6
4
0
3
38:23
20
7
Orsk
10
5
2
3
0
33:18
17
Last Results with these Odds
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 25.51%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.