Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk)


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	2.69	3.79	2.35
	2.54	3.88	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.81)	3.84 ↑ (3.8)	2.37 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
35.9%

Draw
24.5%

Norilsk
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.7%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

24.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Ovcharik D. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
9. Sitnikov V.	18. Alexeyev D.
88. Krylov I. (A)	43. Ugolnikov A. (A)
41. Paramonov D.	56. Mokin N. (A)
91. Suslov K. (A)	13. Kaletnik V. (C)
51. Kulyash D.	63. Yemets I.
Line 2
24. Salnikov E.	72. Korchemkin D.
29. Papst R.	98. Abdeyev I.
72. Rvachev V.	71. Golodnyuk S.
96. Kurkin M.	89. Gorbunov D.
11. Mylnikov D.	93. Korenev I.
Line 3
17. Kovalchuk P.	64. Minayev Y.
27. Ostrovsky S.	28. Makeyev N.
77. Zakharov I.	26. Bain M.
15. Putilov A.	11. Shevchenko V.
98. Kuimov Y.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 4
8. Vikulin K.	51. Popov O.
39. Shabalin A.	55. Alkhimov S.
16. Rubtsov S.	58. Yadykin Y.
19. Litvinov I. (C)	97. Leontyev A.
28. Samokhvalov M.
Substitutes
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)	88. Smirnov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
10:16, 0 - 1, Kaletnik V. (G), Ugolnikov A. (A), Yemets I. (A2)
17:06, 1 - 1, Mylnikov D. (G), Kovalchuk P. (A),
19:17, 2 - 1, Litvinov I. (G), Rubtsov S. (A), Salnikov E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Yuzhny Ural has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norilsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yuzhny Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Yuzhny Ural will win today's game, with odds of 2.68.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
07.10.25	SKA-VMF - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:4 ✺
05.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:1 ✺
29.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelny	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL
- HK Norilsk
VHL
06.10.25	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	Norilsk - Khimik	0:4 ✺
02.10.25	Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Norilsk	2:4 ✺
25.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.03.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	4:2
05.09.24	Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:0
18.12.23	Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:6
24.10.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	1:2

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide