The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yuzhny Ural Orsk 34%
Draw 25.2%
Zauralie Kurgan 40.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.2%
26%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
26.4%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuzhny Ural Orsk's form might have worsened.
Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zauralie Kurgan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuzhny Ural Orsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zauralie Kurgan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Ovcharik D. (G)
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
24. Salnikov E.
3. Shikun A.
26. Ibragimov S.
79. Isayev I. (C)
11. Mylnikov D.
13. Ugolnikov A.
91. Suslov K. (A)
93. Kozlov I.
96. Kurkin M.
17. Lipanov A.
Line 2
29. Papst R.
67. Vasilyev K.
88. Krylov I. (A)
77. Belyakov F. (A)
41. Paramonov D.
11. Ryzhov K.
19. Litvinov I. (C)
34. Tagirov K.
72. Rvachev V.
82. Shiryayev I.
Line 3
17. Kovalchuk P.
61. Kozhemyakin G.
27. Ostrovsky S.
50. Pozhidaev A.
98. Kuimov Y.
99. Kolesnikov S.
15. Putilov A.
78. Komaristy A. (A)
77. Zakharov I.
87. Nizovtsev S.
Line 4
39. Shabalin A.
51. Shipin D.
28. Samokhvalov M.
98. Govorkov R.
79. Timashev I.
7. Baldayev D.
16. Rubtsov S.
Substitutes
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
60. Gorbunov I. (G)
8. Vikulin K.
24. Smirnov N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:39, 0 - 1, Nizovtsev S. (G), Kolesnikov S. (A), Shikun A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:43, 1 - 1, Rubtsov S. (G), Rvachev V. (A), Ibragimov S. (A2)
12:28, 1 - 2, Kozlov I. (G), Lipanov A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:00, 1 - 3, Shiryayev I. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 1.
Recent form of Yuzhny Ural has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zauralie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Yuzhny Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Zauralie has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 39:51. (average 2:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.25%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.