Match Info

VHL

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mostovik Arena (Kurgan)


	Zauralie Kurgan		Khimik

	1	X	2
	2.79	3.98	2.19	Watch
	2.8	3.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.2)	3.92 ↑ (3.6)	2.22 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
33.6%

Draw
24%

Khimik
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25.1%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Khimik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zauralie Kurgan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (+4%)

Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)	31. Volokhin Y. (G)
3. Shikun A.	5. Rukavishnikov R.
79. Isayev I. (C)	4. Sokolov N. (C)
13. Ugolnikov A.	99. Filin Y.
93. Kozlov I.	8. Krovyakov M. (A)
17. Lipanov A.	92. Yarovoi S.
Line 2
67. Vasilyev K.	3. Ivanov D.
77. Belyakov F. (A)	13. Gavrilov I.
11. Ryzhov K.	36. Lukin K.
34. Tagirov K.	65. Mansurov D.
82. Shiryayev I.	41. Solovyov D.
Line 3
16. Avvakumov I.	32. Maryshev A.
61. Kozhemyakin G.	79. Yefremov N.
99. Kolesnikov S.	10. Tkachenko P. (A)
78. Komaristy A. (A)	2. Varyushkin Y.
97. Bogdanov A.	72. Zaitsev A.
Line 4
50. Pozhidaev A.	9. Frolov S.
7. Baldayev D.	23. Ovchinnikov G.
98. Govorkov R.	84. Nasretdinov M.
87. Nizovtsev S.	91. Zamula M.
Substitutes
. Yeryomin I. (G)	1. Kanayev P. (G)
	54. Tarasenko S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:56, 1 - 0, Belyakov F. (G), Shiryayev I. (A), Komaristy A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
07:04, 2 - 0, Ryzhov K. (G), Tagirov K. (A), Vasilyev K. (A2)
08:36, 3 - 0, Ryzhov K. (G), Komaristy A. (A), Tagirov K. (A2)
15:01, 3 - 1, Mansurov D. (G), Solovyov D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:23, 3 - 2, Mansurov D. (G), Lukin K. (A), Solovyov D. (A2)
19:59, 4 - 2, Komaristy A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 2.

Zauralie is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Khimik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Khimik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Khimik will win today's game, with odds of 2.19.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 57:71. (average 2.9:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zauralie won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 3:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Khimik - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.65%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
27.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Zvezda Moscow	1:3 ✺
23.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Omskie Krylia	6:2 ✺
19.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 penalties ✺
17.10.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 ✺
09.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLL
- MHC Khimik
VHL
27.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Khimik	3:2 penalties ✺
25.10.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	1:3 ✺
21.10.25	Khimik - Buran Voronezh	4:3 OT ✺
18.10.25	Khimik - Rostov	3:1 ✺
16.10.25	Khimik - Tambov	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.04.25	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	5:3
03.04.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik	2:1 OT
01.04.25	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1
29.03.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik	6:3
27.03.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik	3:7
24.03.25	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2
22.03.25	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	3:4

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