Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Kristall (Tambov)


	Tambov		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.84	3.13
	2.04	3.9	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 (2.05)	3.87 ↓ (3.89)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
45.8%

Draw
24.2%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

27.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tambov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tambov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tambov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
89. Valiullin S. (G)	60. Ovcharik D. (G)
95. Pesterev V.	29. Papst R.
67. Karimov T.	88. Krylov I. (A)
97. Grymzin S. (A)	10. Shindyaev K.
17. Samsonov D.	91. Suslov K. (A)
92. Korinevsky M. (A)	79. Timashev I.
Line 2
72. Vasin I.	27. Ostrovsky S.
24. Mamkin M.	17. Kovalchuk P.
74. Zhabreyev A.	41. Paramonov D.
9. Peshekhonov V. (C)	19. Litvinov I. (C)
27. Andriyanov A.	51. Kulyash D.
Line 3
28. Bulychyov G.	26. Ibragimov M.
84. Nizovkin M.	24. Salnikov E.
71. Koltygin P.	72. Rvachev V.
10. Tochilkin A.	15. Putilov A.
	98. Kuimov Y.
Line 4
62. Lugovyak S.	8. Vikulin K.
93. Yermakov I.	39. Shabalin A.
87. Gorbunov Y.	11. Mylnikov D.
64. Shilov A.	96. Kurkin M.
	16. Rubtsov S.
Substitutes
22. Korolev T. (G)	32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:39, 1 - 0, Nizovkin M. (G), Andriyanov A. (A), Mamkin M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:35, 2 - 0, Tochilkin A. (G), Lugovyak S. (A), Pesterev V. (A2)
10:34, 2 - 1, Suslov K. (G), Kulyash D. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:56, 3 - 1, Gorbunov Y. (G),
20', 4 - 1, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of home games.

Tambov might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 2.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2.3:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Tambov - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
18.10.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Tambov	6:0 ✺
16.10.25	Khimik - Tambov	3:0 ✺
14.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	5:3 ✺
09.10.25	Tambov - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:2 penalties ✺
07.10.25	Tambov - Rubin Tyumen	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLWW
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
18.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 ✺
16.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:5 ✺
14.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	SKA-VMF - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.01.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov	2:3 OT
31.10.24	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 penalties
04.12.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov	6:3
31.10.23	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2
02.12.22	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1
15.11.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov	3:4 penalties
23.01.22	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:5

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