Match Info

VHL

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.78	2.73
	2.38	4.2	2.43	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.45)	3.91 ↑ (3.75)	2.54 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
39.3%

Draw
23.9%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

24.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Rostov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kapustin K. (G)	32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	24. Salnikov E.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	26. Ibragimov S.
27. Kalmykov D. (C)	10. Shindyaev K.
21. Sergiyevsky Y.	91. Suslov K. (A)
95. Korbit Y.	79. Timashev I.
Line 2
94. Voronin N. (A)	39. Shabalin A.
5. Makarov S.	88. Krylov I. (A)
26. Urulin S. (A)	11. Mylnikov D.
25. Sedantsov O.	19. Litvinov I. (C)
9. Myagkov V.	72. Rvachev V.
Line 3
37. Opotsky R.	17. Kovalchuk P.
6. Gapochkin R.	27. Ostrovsky S.
64. Sorokin S.	63. Timchenko A.
17. Smolyov I.	15. Putilov A.
88. Voloskov G.	77. Zakharov I.
Line 4
55. Machugin D.	55. Dolzhenko D.
98. Levinsky A.	28. Samokhvalov M.
23. Kamensky Y.	96. Kurkin M.
7. Galushkin A.	16. Rubtsov S.
Substitutes
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	21. Nikishin M. (G)
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	8. Vikulin K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:12, 0 - 1, Kovalchuk P. (G),
07:08, 1 - 1, Korbit Y. (G), Sergiyevsky Y. (A), Tsalpanov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:43, 1 - 2, Suslov K. (G), Rvachev V. (A), Salnikov E. (A2)
01:35, 2 - 2, Makarov S. (G), Urulin S. (A),
04:27, 3 - 2, Korbit Y. (G), Kalmykov D. (A),
11:22, 3 - 3, Ibragimov S. (G), Litvinov I. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:37, 4 - 3, Sedantsov O. (G), Urulin S. (A), Voronin N. (A2)
19:49, 4 - 4, Rvachev V. (G), Suslov K. (A), Mylnikov D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Rvachev V. (Penalty Shot),
1, Sedantsov O. (Penalty Shot),
2, Timchenko A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Korbit Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Rubtsov S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kamensky Y. (Penalty Shot),
4, Suslov K. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

Rostov is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yuzhny Ural's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 2.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 2.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
20.10.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Rostov	5:3 ✺
18.10.25	Khimik - Rostov	3:1 ✺
16.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Rostov - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4 OT ✺
09.10.25	Rostov - Rubin Tyumen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
23.10.25	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 ✺
16.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:5 ✺
14.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.01.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rostov	0:1
29.10.24	Rostov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:3
08.12.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rostov	4:3 OT
06.11.23	Rostov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 penalties
29.12.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rostov	3:2 penalties
20.10.22	Rostov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:3
25.01.22	Rostov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:0

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