Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mostovik Arena (Kurgan) 🌤️ ...


	Zauralie Kurgan		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.25	4.35	Watch
	1.55	4.3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.95)	4.28 ↑ (3.6)	4.3 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
57.2%

Draw
21.5%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zauralie Kurgan's performance.

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuzhny Ural Orsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zauralie Kurgan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuzhny Ural Orsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zauralie will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zauralie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)	60. Ovcharik D. (G)
16. Avvakumov I.	85. Lugovyak S.
43. Ugolnikov A. (C)	9. Sitnikov V.
11. Ryzhov K.	11. Mylnikov D. (A)
34. Tagirov K.	91. Suslov K. (C)
47. Grymzin S.	41. Paramonov D.
Line 2
61. Kozhemyakin G.	27. Ostrovsky S.
77. Belyakov F.	88. Krylov I. (A)
70. Monakhov A.	98. Kuimov Y.
78. Komaristy A. (A)	15. Putilov A.
99. Kolesnikov S.	77. Zakharov I.
Line 3
48. Denisevich B.	29. Papst R.
67. Vasilyev K.	18. Zotov F.
87. Nizovtsev S.	16. Rubtsov S.
93. Kozlov I. (A)	96. Kurkin M.
7. Baldayev D.	28. Samokhvalov M.
Line 4
3. Shikun A.	8. Vikulin K.
97. Bogdanov A.	79. Timashev I.
98. Govorkov R.	10. Shindyaev K.
74. Govorkov M.
Substitutes
21. Nikishin M. (G)	32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
30. Yeryomin I. (G)	51. Kulyash D.
	72. Rvachev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:18, 1 - 0, Grymzin S. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:34, 2 - 0, Kolesnikov S. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:39, 2 - 1, Shindyaev K. (G),
19:59, 3 - 1, Ryzhov K. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 5.

Zauralie has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yuzhny Ural has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Zauralie is a strong favorite.

We predict that Zauralie will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 52:39. (average 2.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zauralie won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 2.6:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Orsk	15	7	3	3	2	41:28	23
26	Kurgan	16	2	2	4	8	29:46	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
14.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:0 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
10.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLL
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
14.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:1 ✺
12.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 OT ✺
09.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik	0:4 ✺
25.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Torpedo-Gorky	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3
01.02.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 OT
19.10.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 penalties
24.12.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3
18.10.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:2
18.12.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 OT
31.10.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3

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