Match Info

EUROPE: CONTINENTAL CUP - THIRD ROUND

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	Zemgale LLU		Acroni Jesenice

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.75	1.95
	2.81	4.27	1.86
	3.15	4.35	1.87
	2.66	4.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (6)	4.54 ↓ (5.5)	1.9 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zemgale LLU
31.9%

Draw
20%

Acroni Jesenice
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

16.7%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

16.5%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zemgale LLU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zemgale LLU's performance.

Acroni Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Acroni Jesenice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zemgale LLU that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Acroni Jesenice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Zemgale LLU - Acroni Jesenice Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Zemgale will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Acroni Jesenice will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zemgale: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Recent matches Zemgale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Acroni Jesenice in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zemgale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zemgale have a series of guest games.

In this match Acroni Jesenice is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Zemgale LLU
Finnish Mestis
16.11.22	TuTo - Zemgale LLU	3:2 OT ✺
15.11.22	TuTo - Zemgale LLU	3:2 OT ✺
Latvian Hokeja Liga
05.11.22	Dinamo Riga - Zemgale LLU	0:3 ✺
02.11.22	Dinamo Riga - Zemgale LLU	2:8 ✺
Finnish Mestis
29.10.22	Zemgale LLU - Imatran Ketterä	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL
- Acroni Jesenice
Alps Hockey League
05.11.22	Acroni Jesenice - Kitzbühel	8:1 ✺
01.11.22	Gherdëina - Acroni Jesenice	2:5 ✺
29.10.22	Acroni Jesenice - Vipiteno	5:1 ✺
26.10.22	Ritten-Renon - Acroni Jesenice	1:4 ✺
22.10.22	Acroni Jesenice - Fassa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

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