Match Info

EUROPE: CONTINENTAL CUP - THIRD ROUND

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Zemgale LLU		Cardiff Devils

	1	X	2
	3.3	5	1.72
	3.59	5.51	1.68
	3.59	5.51	1.68
	3.78	4.4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.43)	5.11 ↑ (4.87)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zemgale LLU
26.2%

Draw
18.3%

Cardiff Devils
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

19.2%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

17.8%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zemgale LLU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cardiff Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Devils than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff Devils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zemgale LLU - Cardiff Devils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Zemgale in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Cardiff Devils is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zemgale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zemgale have a series of guest games.

In this match Cardiff Devils is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zemgale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Zemgale LLU
IIHF Continental Cup
17.11.23	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Zemgale LLU	1:3 ✺
Latvian Hokeja Liga
04.11.23	Zemgale LLU - Kaunas City	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	HS Rīga - Zemgale LLU	2:6 ✺
28.10.23	Kaunas City - Zemgale LLU	4:9 ✺
24.10.23	Riga Prizma - Zemgale LLU	5:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWW
- Cardiff Devils
IIHF Continental Cup
17.11.23	Cardiff Devils - Nomad	4:5 ✺
United Kingdom Elite League
11.11.23	Belfast Giants - Cardiff Devils	2:3 ✺
10.11.23	Cardiff Devils - Manchester Storm	4:3 OT ✺
05.11.23	Glasgow Clan - Cardiff Devils	0:7 ✺
04.11.23	Cardiff Devils - Manchester Storm	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF Continental Cup
20.11.22	Cardiff Devils - Zemgale LLU	5:2

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