Match Info

EUROPE: CONTINENTAL CUP - THIRD ROUND

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	Cardiff Devils		Nomad

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.5	5.5
	1.4	5.1	5.2
	1.43	5.86	5.27
	1.44	5.86	5.27
	1.41	5.05	5.3
	1.4	5.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.32)	5.41 ↓ (5.99)	5.29 ↓ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Devils
65.4%

Draw
17.1%

Nomad
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

15.5%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

14.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Nomad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Devils than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-2%)

Cardiff Devils - Nomad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Cardiff Devils is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nomad is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Nomad have a series of guest games.

In this match Cardiff Devils is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Devils
United Kingdom Elite League
11.11.23	Belfast Giants - Cardiff Devils	2:3 ✺
10.11.23	Cardiff Devils - Manchester Storm	4:3 OT ✺
05.11.23	Glasgow Clan - Cardiff Devils	0:7 ✺
04.11.23	Cardiff Devils - Manchester Storm	1:3 ✺
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
28.10.23	Cardiff Devils - Coventry Blaze	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW
- Nomad Astana
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
11.11.23	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	2:3 penalties ✺
10.11.23	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	1:4 ✺
07.11.23	Ertis Pavlodar - Nomad	2:3 ✺
06.11.23	Ertis Pavlodar - Nomad	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWW

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