Match Info

LATVIA: OPTIBET HOKEJA LIGA

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday


	Zemgale LLU		Kurbads

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.25	4.4
	1.46	4.85	4.7
	1.51	5.86	4.75
	1.52	5.86	4.46
	1.4	5.5	4
	1.46	4.8	4.6
	1.46	4.7	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	5.26 ↑ (4.87)	4.52 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zemgale LLU
62.3%

Draw
17.4%

Kurbads
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

19%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

20.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zemgale LLU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Kurbads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kurbads than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Zemgale LLU - Kurbads Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zemgale won 2.

Recent matches Zemgale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kurbads is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kurbads could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kurbads have a series of home games.

In this match Zemgale is a favorite.

Last 46 head-to-head matches Zemgale won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 32 matches and goals 98-156.

Including matches at home between the teams Zemgale won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 46-65.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Zemgale LLU
IIHF Continental Cup
19.11.23	Nomad - Zemgale LLU	4:1 ✺
18.11.23	Zemgale LLU - Cardiff Devils	2:5 ✺
17.11.23	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Zemgale LLU	1:3 ✺
Latvian Hokeja Liga
04.11.23	Zemgale LLU - Kaunas City	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	HS Rīga - Zemgale LLU	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLWWW
- HK Kurbads
Latvian Hokeja Liga
19.11.23	Kurbads - Kaunas City	6:3 ✺
18.11.23	Kurbads - Kaunas City	3:5 ✺
04.11.23	Kurbads - Punks Vilnius	6:2 ✺
01.11.23	Energija Elektrėnai - Kurbads	3:4 ✺
28.10.23	Kurbads - Punks Vilnius	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
11.10.23	Zemgale LLU - Kurbads	5:4 OT
23.09.23	Kurbads - Zemgale LLU	2:1 OT
11.01.20	Kurbads - Zemgale LLU	5:4 OT
08.01.20	Zemgale LLU - Kurbads	3:1
26.10.19	Kurbads - Zemgale LLU	6:0
23.10.19	Zemgale LLU - Kurbads	2:5
18.09.19	Kurbads - Zemgale LLU	3:1

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