Match Info

EUROPE: CONTINENTAL CUP - THIRD ROUND

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Nomad		Zemgale LLU

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.75	4.1
	1.57	4.75	3.9
	1.64	5.72	3.66
	1.65	5.72	3.66
	1.63	4.4	3.92
	1.57	4.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	5.02 ↑ (4.86)	3.86 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nomad
57.5%

Draw
18.5%

Zemgale LLU
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

19.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

18.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nomad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Zemgale LLU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Nomad - Zemgale LLU Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Nomad in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zemgale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zemgale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nomad have a series of guest games.

In this match Nomad is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nomad Astana
IIHF Continental Cup
18.11.23	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Nomad	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Cardiff Devils - Nomad	4:5 ✺
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
11.11.23	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	2:3 penalties ✺
10.11.23	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	1:4 ✺
07.11.23	Ertis Pavlodar - Nomad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 WWWWW
- HK Zemgale LLU
IIHF Continental Cup
18.11.23	Zemgale LLU - Cardiff Devils	2:5 ✺
17.11.23	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Zemgale LLU	1:3 ✺
Latvian Hokeja Liga
04.11.23	Zemgale LLU - Kaunas City	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	HS Rīga - Zemgale LLU	2:6 ✺
28.10.23	Kaunas City - Zemgale LLU	4:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWWW

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