Match Info

Date: 6 April 2022, Wednesday


	Zemgale LLU		Olimp Riga

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.5	3.3
	1.78	4.33	3.5
	1.79	4.1	3.35
	1.76	4.1	3.45
	1.78	4.24	3.5
	1.8	4	3.3
	1.74	4.1	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.79)	4.2 ↓ (4.27)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zemgale LLU
51.6%

Draw
21.8%

Olimp Riga
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

21.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Zemgale LLU have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Olimp Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zemgale LLU, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimp Riga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

2nd leg. Zemgale leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zemgale won 0.

Zemgale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Olimp is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olimp could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zemgale will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Zemgale won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 65-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Zemgale won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 38-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Zemgale LLU
Latvian Hokeja Liga
04.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	5:0 ✺
29.03.22	Liepāja - Zemgale LLU	3:4 OT ✺
27.03.22	Zemgale LLU - Liepāja	1:2 OT ✺
25.03.22	Liepāja - Zemgale LLU	1:3 ✺
23.03.22	Liepāja - Zemgale LLU	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- HK Olimp Riga
Latvian Hokeja Liga
04.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	5:0 ✺
28.03.22	Olimp Riga - Mogo	4:3 OT ✺
26.03.22	Mogo - Olimp Riga	2:3 ✺
24.03.22	Olimp Riga - Mogo	1:2 ✺
22.03.22	Olimp Riga - Mogo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
04.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	5:0
15.03.22	Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU	1:4
09.03.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	7:1
26.02.22	Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU	2:3 penalties
27.11.21	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	3:4 penalties
02.10.21	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	2:1
04.09.21	Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU	4:7

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