Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Ässät U20		RoKi U20

	1	X	2
	1.34	5.2	4.9
	1.35	4.96	5.28
	1.36	5.4	5.95
	1.35	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.35)	5.14 ↑ (5.12)	5.53 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
66.4%

Draw
17.4%

RoKi U20
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

17.6%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

17.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

RoKi U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi U20 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Ässät U20 - RoKi U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:14, 1 - 0, Heiniola M. (G), Tikkanen T. (A),
10:04, 1 - 1, Strazdins R. (G), Tuomi N. (A),
15:56, 2 - 1, Aijala E. (G), Kim A. (A), Mannisto A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:24, 3 - 1, Koski L. (G), Juusela A. (A), Huhtanen E. (A2)
13:49, 3 - 2, Strazdins R. (G), Viljakainen J. (A),
15:17, 4 - 2, Koski L. (G),
17:59, 5 - 2, Juusela A. (G), Kamarainen R. (A), Koski L. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 5.

Ässät U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

RoKi U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ässät U20 is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Ässät U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 43:10. (average 7.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:7. (average 7.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.10.25	Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 OT ✺
28.09.25	RoKi U20 - Ässät U20	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Kärpät U20 - Ässät U20	1:6 ✺
21.09.25	Ässät U20 - KalPa U20	6:3 ✺
20.09.25	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL
- RoKi U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.10.25	TPS U20 - RoKi U20	3:4 ✺
28.09.25	RoKi U20 - Ässät U20	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	RoKi U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - RoKi U20	5:3 ✺
20.09.25	Ilves U20 - RoKi U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.09.25	RoKi U20 - Ässät U20	1:4
07.03.25	RoKi U20 - Ässät U20	2:8
11.10.24	Ässät U20 - RoKi U20	5:2
17.09.23	RoKi U20 - Ässät U20	0:8
14.10.22	Ässät U20 - RoKi U20	8:2
10.10.21	Ässät U20 - RoKi U20	10:3

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