Match Info

FLYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2


	Alessandro Costa		Alden Coria

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Alessandro Costa
76.2%

Alden Coria
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Costa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alden Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

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In this match, Costa is considered a favorite.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Costa
MMA
07.09.24	Matt Schnell - Alessandro Costa	Canceled ✺
04.05.24	Alessandro Costa - Kevin Borjas	Costa A. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
11.11.23	Steve Erceg - Alessandro Costa	Erceg S. win ✺
17.06.23	Jimmy Flick - Alessandro Costa	Costa A. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
17.12.22	Amir Albazi - Alessandro Costa	Albazi A. - 3rd Round KO ✺

Alessandro Costa - Alden Coria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide