Match Info

CATCHWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Meta Apex (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Matt Schnell		Alessandro Costa

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Matt Schnell
21.3%

Alessandro Costa
78.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.7%

84.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matt Schnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matt Schnell's performance.

Alessandro Costa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alessandro Costa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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In this match, Costa is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schnell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matt Schnell
MMA
06.06.26	Matt Schnell - Imanol Rodriguez	Canceled ✺
08.11.25	Matt Schnell - Joseph Morales	Morales J. - 1st Round TKO ✺
26.04.25	Matt Schnell - Jimmy Flick	Schnell M. win ✺
07.09.24	Matt Schnell - Cody Durden	Durden C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
07.09.24	Matt Schnell - Alessandro Costa	Canceled ✺
- Alessandro Costa
MMA
04.04.26	Alessandro Costa - Stewart Nicoll	Costa A. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
13.09.25	Alessandro Costa - Alden Coria	Coria A. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
07.09.24	Matt Schnell - Alessandro Costa	Canceled ✺
04.05.24	Alessandro Costa - Kevin Borjas	Costa A. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
11.11.23	Steve Erceg - Alessandro Costa	Erceg S. win ✺

MMA
07.09.24	Matt Schnell - Alessandro Costa	Canceled

Matt Schnell - Alessandro Costa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide