Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: UFC Apex (Las Vegas)


	Augusto Sakai		Sergey Spivak

	1	2
	3.75	1.28
	3.35	1.28
	3.7	1.31
	3.3	1.33
	3.26	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.7)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augusto Sakai
27.3%

Sergey Spivak
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augusto Sakai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Augusto Sakai's form might have worsened.

Sergey Spivak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergey Spivak's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Augusto Sakai - Sergey Spivak Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sakai will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Spivak will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spivak: 58.6% – 97%.

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Preview

In this match Spivak is a favorite.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augusto Sakai
MMA
11.12.21	Augusto Sakai - Tai Tuivasa	Tuivasa T. - 2nd Round KO ✺
20.11.21	Augusto Sakai - Tai Tuivasa	Canceled ✺
05.06.21	Jairzinho Rozenstruik - Augusto Sakai	Rozenstruik J. - 1st Round TKO ✺
01.05.21	Shamil Abdurahimov - Augusto Sakai	Canceled ✺
05.09.20	Alistair Overeem - Augusto Sakai	Overeem A. win Overeem A. - Round 5 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
- Sergey Spivak
MMA
05.03.22	Sergey Spivak - Greg Hardy	Spivak S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
22.01.22	Greg Hardy - Sergey Spivak	Canceled ✺
04.09.21	Tom Aspinall - Sergey Spivak	Aspinall T. - 1st Round TKO ✺
19.06.21	Alexey Oleinik - Sergey Spivak	Spivak S. win ✺
20.02.21	Sergey Spivak - Jared Vanderaa	Spivac S. - 2nd Round TKO ✺

Augusto Sakai - Sergey Spivak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide