The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blagoy Ivanov 56.3%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blagoy Ivanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
0%
26.7%
Blagoy Ivanov - Marcos Rogerio de Lima Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Ivanov will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). de Lima will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ivanov: 50.9% – 95.7%.