Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Meta Apex (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2


	Bolaji Oki		Manoel Sousa

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Bolaji Oki
29%

Manoel Sousa
71%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolaji Oki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Manoel Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

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In this match, Sousa is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolaji Oki
MMA
06.09.25	Bolaji Oki - Mason Jones	Jones M. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
31.05.25	Bolaji Oki - Michael Aswell	Oki B. win ✺
31.05.25	Marquel Mederos - Bolaji Oki	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady - Bolaji Oki	Canceled ✺
28.09.24	Bolaji Oki - Chris Duncan	Duncan C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
- Manoel Sousa
MMA
14.09.24	Archie Colgan - Manoel Sousa	Colgan A. win ✺
22.03.24	Tim Wilde - Manoel Sousa	Sousa M. - 1st Round KO ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Bolaji Oki - Manoel Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide