Match Info

FLYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena CDMX (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Brandon Moreno		Loneer Kavanagh

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Brandon Moreno
64.7%

Loneer Kavanagh
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Moreno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Loneer Kavanagh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

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Moreno could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Moreno
MMA
06.12.25	Brandon Moreno - Tatsuro Taira	Taira T. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
29.03.25	Brandon Moreno - Steve Erceg	Moreno B. win ✺
02.11.24	Brandon Moreno - Amir Albazi	Moreno B. win ✺
25.02.24	Brandon Moreno - Brandon Royval	Royval B. win ✺
24.02.24	Brandon Moreno - Amir Albazi	Canceled ✺
- Loneer Kavanagh
MMA
23.08.25	Charles Johnson - Loneer Kavanagh	Johnson C. - 2nd Round KO ✺
22.03.25	Loneer Kavanagh - Felipe dos Santos	Kavanagh L. win ✺
23.11.24	Loneer Kavanagh - Jose Ochoa	Kavanagh L. win ✺
30.03.24	Loneer Kavanagh - Shawn Marcos Claudina Da Silva	Kavanagh L. win ✺
21.07.23	Loneer Kavanagh - Shawn Marcos Claudina Da Silva	Canceled ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loneer Kavanagh
MMA
24.10.26	Loneer Kavanagh - Ramazan Temurov	✺

Brandon Moreno - Loneer Kavanagh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide