Match Info

STRAWWEIGHT - WOMEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Madison Square Garden (New York)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Carla Esparza		Weili Zhang

	1	2
	4	1.25
	3.85	1.27
	3.95	1.26
	3.7	1.24
	4.05	1.27
	4	1.25
	4.1	1.23
	3.96	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.74)	1.25 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carla Esparza
24.1%

Weili Zhang
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carla Esparza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Weili Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Carla Esparza - Weili Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Esparza will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Zhang will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 41.5% – 84.9%.

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Preview

Esparza Carla defending title.

In this match Zhang is a favorite.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carla Esparza
MMA
07.05.22	Rose Namajunas - Carla Esparza	Esparza C. win ✺
22.05.21	Xiaonan Yan - Carla Esparza	Esparza C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
25.07.20	Carla Esparza - Michael Rodriguez	Esparza C. win ✺
15.07.20	Carla Esparza - Michael Rodriguez	Canceled ✺
09.05.20	Carla Esparza - Michelle Waterson-Gomez	Esparza C. win Esparza C. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
- Weili Zhang
MMA
11.06.22	Weili Zhang - Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Zhang W. - 2nd Round KO ✺
06.11.21	Rose Namajunas - Weili Zhang	Namajunas R. win ✺
24.04.21	Weili Zhang - Rose Namajunas	Namajunas R. - 1st Round KO ✺
07.03.20	Weili Zhang - Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Zhang W. win Zhang W. - Round 5 / 5:00 Points ✺
31.08.19	Jessica Andrade - Weili Zhang	Zhang W. win Zhang W. - Round 1 Technical Knockout (Knee and Punches) ✺

Carla Esparza - Weili Zhang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide