Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Charles Oliveira		Justin Gaethje

	1	2
	1.66	2.25
	1.68	2.18
	1.62	2.17
	1.67	2.3
	1.67	2.2
	1.71	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)	2.25 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Charles Oliveira
57.4%

Justin Gaethje
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charles Oliveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Justin Gaethje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.1%	0%	64.9%

Charles Oliveira - Justin Gaethje Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Oliveira will win (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Gaethje will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaethje: 49.5% – 80.3%.

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Preview

Oliveira Charles defending title.

The chances to win of two fighters are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charles Oliveira
MMA
12.12.21	Charles Oliveira - Dustin Poirier	Oliveira C. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
16.05.21	Charles Oliveira - Michael Chandler	Oliveira C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
12.12.20	Tony Ferguson - Charles Oliveira	Oliveira C. win Oliveira C. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
14.03.20	Kevin Lee - Charles Oliveira	Oliveira C. win Oliveira C. - Round 3 Submission (Guillotine choke) ✺
16.11.19	Charles Oliveira - Jared Gordon	Oliveira C. win Oliveira C. - Round 1 / 1:26 Knockout (Punches) ✺
- Justin Gaethje
MMA
06.11.21	Justin Gaethje - Michael Chandler	Gaethje J. win ✺
24.10.20	Khabib Nurmagomedov - Justin Gaethje	Nurmagomedov K. win Nurmagomedov K. - Round 2 / 1:34 Submission (Triangle choke) ✺
10.05.20	Tony Ferguson - Justin Gaethje	Gaethje J. win Gaethje J. - Round 5 / 3:39 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
14.09.19	Donald Cerrone - Justin Gaethje	Gaethje J. win Gaethje J. - Round 1 / 4:18 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
30.03.19	Edson Barboza - Justin Gaethje	Gaethje J. win Gaethje J. - Round 1 / 2:30 Knockout (Punch) ✺

Charles Oliveira - Justin Gaethje: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide