Match Info

BANTAMWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: RAC Arena (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Colby Thicknesse		Vince Morales

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Colby Thicknesse
54.5%

Vince Morales
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colby Thicknesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Vince Morales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

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The chances of victory for both fighters are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colby Thicknesse
MMA
27.09.25	Colby Thicknesse - Josias Musasa	Thicknesse C. win ✺
08.02.25	Colby Thicknesse - Aleksandre Topuria	Topuria A. win ✺
- Vince Morales
MMA
29.03.25	Raul Rosas Jr - Vince Morales	Rosas Jr. R. win ✺
15.02.25	Vince Morales - Elijah Smith	Smith E. win ✺
28.09.24	Taylor Lapilus - Vince Morales	Lapilus T. win ✺
31.12.23	Yuki Motoya - Vince Morales	Morales V. win ✺
19.11.22	Vince Morales - Miles Johns	Johns M. win ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colby Thicknesse
MMA
24.10.26	Colby Thicknesse - Asaf Chopurov	✺

Colby Thicknesse - Vince Morales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide