Match Info

Date: 4 August 2018, Saturday


	Cub Swanson		Roan Carneiro

	1	2
	3.5	1.3
	3.6	1.3
	3.4	1.33
	3.6	1.25
	3.6	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.88)	1.3 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cub Swanson
26.9%

Roan Carneiro
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cub Swanson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Roan Carneiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Cub Swanson - Roan Carneiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Swanson will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Carneiro will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swanson: 46.4% – 99%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cub Swanson
MMA
21.04.18	Frankie Edgar - Cub Swanson	Edgar F. win Edgar F. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
09.12.17	Cub Swanson - Brian Ortega	Ortega B. win Ortega B. - Round 2 / 3:22 Submission (Guillotine choke) ✺
22.04.17	Cub Swanson - Artem Lobov	Swanson C. win Swanson C. - Round 5 / 5:00 Points ✺
10.12.16	Cub Swanson - Doo Ho Choi	Swanson C. win Swanson C. - Round 3 Points ✺
06.08.16	Cub Swanson - Tatsuya Kawajiri	Swanson C. win Swanson C. - Round 3 Points ✺
- Roan Carneiro
MMA
07.04.18	Roan Carneiro - Calvin Kattar	Carneiro R. win Carneiro R. - Round 3 Points ✺
29.07.17	Roan Carneiro - Brian Ortega	Ortega B. win Ortega B. - Round 3 / 2:59 Submission ✺
15.04.17	Jeremy Stephens - Roan Carneiro	Carneiro R. win Carneiro R. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
11.02.17	Ryan LaFlare - Roan Carneiro	LaFlare R. win LaFlare R. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
17.09.16	Roan Carneiro - Kenny Robertson	Carneiro R. win Carneiro R. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺

Cub Swanson - Roan Carneiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide